Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 6, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Texas Rangers:  51-35 (1st place, AL West)

Boston Red Sox:  43-43 (5th place, AL East)

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Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Houston Astros 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-35 record overall and have a road record of 24-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .803 OPS. Jon Gray is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Nathan Eovaldi is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 10-3 with a 2.64 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-43 record overall and have a home record of 21-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have been rolling this season with the best record in the AL West and one of the best offenses in the entire MLB. They hit a snag over the weekend in their series against the Astros but they bounced right back on Tuesday with a win against the Red Sox and will be looking to take advantage of this Red Sox pitching staff that has been bad all season. The Rangers haven't been great with their bullpen this season but neither have the Red Sox and the Rangers have a much better pitching matchup in this game too. Eovaldi is on the mound for them and he has been their ace this season as he leads the pitching staff in wins. He is also pitching against his old team here so he will be looking to put up a great performance in his old ballpark. He will be able to hold off this Red Sox offense that hasn't been putting up a ton of runs lately and the Rangers offense will also be able to carry the team here. The Red Sox have Crawford starting and he hasn't been terrible this season but he hasn't been great either and the Rangers have one of the best offenses in the league. The Rangers are going to get after Crawford here with the way they have been crushing the ball lately and the Red Sox don't have a great bullpen to back him up either. The Rangers have the stronger offense and the better pitching matchup here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Rangers Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 6, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Rangers 5 Red Sox 2.

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Texas Rangers: 51-35 (+10 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-9 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-17 OVER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 32-23 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Boston Red Sox: 21-26 (-5.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 21-22 (-5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 24-18 OVER in home games. 21-13 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Texas Rangers:  A. Heaney (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Leclerc (RP) Mid July - Ankle. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Boston Red Sox:  P. Reyes (3B) Mid July - Abdominal. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. Y. Chang (3B) Mid July - Wrist. J. Paxton (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. R. Bleier (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Schreiber (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Rodriguez (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“Dane, he's been good all year. I don't know what else to say about him.” - Bruce Bochy on Dane Dunning after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Tuesday.

“It was four runs in six innings. That's the way we look at it. ... It just happened that today we got a lot of hits and didn't score many runs.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Tuesday.

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Ezequiel Duran (R) DH

Mitch Garver (R) C

Robbie Grossman (S) LF

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Jarren Duran (L) CF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Justin Turner (R) DH

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

David Hamilton (L) SS

Connor Wong (R) C

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.347)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (102)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (21)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (69)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (10)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Will Smith (15)

ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jarren Duran (.310)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (91)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (20)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (66)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (17)

ERA:  Tayler Scott (0.00)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)