Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/05/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Texas Rangers:  50-35 (1st place, AL West)

Boston Red Sox:  43-42 (5th place, AL East)

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Texas Rangers:  3-7 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Houston Astros 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-35 record overall and have a road record of 23-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .802 OPS. Dane Dunning is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jon Gray is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-42 record overall and have a home record of 21-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Brennan Bernardino is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox haven't been great this season as they are struggling just to stay above .500 but they do have a really good offense and the better pitching matchup in this game. The Rangers have been rolling this season with the best record in the AL West and one of the best offenses in the league too, but their pitching hasn't been good all season with a weak bullpen and they haven't been winning a lot of their games lately either. The Red Sox have a chance to take advantage of this slumping Rangers team with Bello on the mound here since he has been really good in his home starts all season and hasn't been giving up many runs lately at all. It will be tough to keep the Rangers off the board here but he will continue pitching well at home like he has been doing and he still has his own solid offense to lean on here. The Rangers are starting Gray in this game and after a great start to the year, Gray is starting to regress now and has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts lately. He is coming off a bad start in his last one which the Red Sox will be able to take advantage of and the Rangers don't really have a solid bullpen to lean on in the later stages of this game either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game. 

Rangers Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 5, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 8 Rangers 4.

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Texas Rangers: 50-35 (+9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-9 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-16 OVER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. 33-23 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Boston Red Sox: 21-25 (-4.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 21-21 (-4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 12-7 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 21-13 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Texas Rangers:  J. Leclerc (RP) Mid July - Ankle. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Boston Red Sox:  M. Yoshida (LF) Ques Tues - Leg. G. Whitlock (RP) Out Indefinitely - Elbow. A. Duvall (LF) Ques Tues - Illness. J. Schreiber (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Rodriguez (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. P. Reyes (3B) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. Y. Chang (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“A lot of baseball left. We keep fighting like that, and we’ll be fine. ... We have to put this series behind us. Very intense series, very intense game.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s loss against the Astros in their game on Monday.

“The way we played this weekend was fun to watch. Hopefully it’s a lesson to everybody here in this group that if we play that way against everybody, we’ve got a chance.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Jonah Heim (S) C

Travis Jankowski (L) LF

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Josh H. Smith (L) DH

Jarren Duran (L) CF

Justin Turner (R) DH

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Rob Refsnyder (R) LF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Enrique Hernandez (R) 2B

David Hamilton (L) SS

Connor Wong (R) C

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.349)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (102)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (21)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (69)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (10)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Will Smith (14)

ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jarren Duran (.305)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (91)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (20)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (66)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (17)

ERA:  Chris Martin (1.73)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)