Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2025

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY 

Where to Watch:  MLBN, Prime Video

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Yankees -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Yankees -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +113, Yankees -137; Over/Under:  9 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  54-53 (4th place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  57-49 (2nd place, AL East)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-53 record overall and have a road record of 23-25. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Rays won the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .723 OPS. Joe Boyle is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Zack Littell is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-8 with a 3.72 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 2 SO on 10 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-49 record overall and have a home record of 31-22. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Yankees lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .783 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 57-49 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-22 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 54-53 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team either with their 23-25 road record this season. The Rays are going with Littell in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 8-8 with a 3.72 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all year, but lately he hasn't looked great. His team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he did give up 5 earned runs in his last start and that is going to be an issue here on the road against one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Yankees are going with Warren in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs this season. His team has also lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he did look a lot better in his last start as he only gave up 2 earned runs and the Yankees have been putting up a ton of runs in his starts too so they are going to come prepared for this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Rays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 30, 2025 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Rays 3.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 29-33 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 72-65 (+4.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 73-66 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 32-17 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

New York Yankees: 240-203 (-30 units) on the moneyline in all games. 121-101 (-29.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 179-142 (-41.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 32-23 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start.

Tampa Bay Rays:  B. Baker (RP) Day To Day - Calf. H. Kim (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. S. Fairchild (RF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Lowe (2B) Ten Day IL - Foot. H. Bigge (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. R. Palacios (LF) Sixty Day IL - Knee. M. Rodriguez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. S. McClanahan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Triceps. A. Faedo (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Lavender (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Flexor Strain. C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

"I know [the Trade Deadline] affects our players, and you care about the players. I don't know if the right message is to say something, or not say something and let them go out and play. But to a man, it's a smart group in there. They know what's going on, and they know what's at stake these last couple of days." - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Monday.

“I actually thought Cam made a lot of good pitches against Aranda. He kept spoiling, spoiling, spoiling.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Monday.

Chandler Simpson (L) CF

Yandy Díaz (R) DH

Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B

Junior Caminero (R) 3B

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Jake Mangum (S) LF

Tristan Gray (L) 2B

Taylor Walls (S) SS

Matt Thaiss (L) C

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Jasson Domínguez (S) LF

Cody Bellinger (L) RF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Austin Wells (L) C

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Batting Average:  Richie Palacios (.750)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (114)

Home Runs:  Junior Caminero (27)

RBI:  Junior Caminero (70)

Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (33)

Wins:  Shane Baz (8)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (18)

ERA:  Connor Seabold (1.35)

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (129)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (15)

Wins:  Max Fried (11)

Saves:  Devin Williams (16)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (11th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)