by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 11, 2021
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USM +32.5, UTSA -32.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USM +33, UTSA -33; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USM +33.5, UTSA -33.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: 1-8 (7th place, C-USA West)
UTSA Roadrunners: 9-0 (1st place, C-USA West)
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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs UTSA Roadrunners Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: lost at home on Nov. 6 against the North Texas Mean Green 38-14.
UTSA Roadrunners: won on the road on Nov. 6 against the UTEP Miners 44-23.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Analysis
USM is coming into this game with a 1-8 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 0-5 in their conference games this season. They have won just 1 game all season and are coming into this game on a 7 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Jack Lange did not play well in their last game as he completed 17/25 passes for 116 yards and 1 touchdown. Frank Gore Jr. led the team in rushing with 82 yards on 12 carries. Jason Brownlee led the receivers with 53 yards and the only offensive touchdown for them in that game on 4 receptions while Demarcus Jones led the team in receptions with 6 for 49 yards. Malik Shorts led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Averie Habas and DaShawn Crawford both combined for the only sack in that game while Jay Stanley had the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 123 points in their 9 games this season averaging 13.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 272 points against them allowing 30.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 252.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 365.8 YPG.
UTSA Roadrunners Analysis
UTSA is coming into this game with a 9-0 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently leading the way with a 5-0 record in their conference games this season. They have not lost a single game this season and are coming into this one on that 9 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Frank Harris played well in that game as he completed 22/34 passes for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns. Sincere McCormick had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 169 yards and 1 touchdown on 21 carries while Harris had 76 rushing yards himself for 2 touchdowns on 9 carries. Zakhari Franklin also had a nice day as he led the receivers with 114 yards and 2 touchdowns on 10 receptions. Rashad Wisdom led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Trumane Bell recorded the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 359 points in their 9 games this season averaging 39.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 173 points against them allowing 19.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 455.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 337.6 YPG.
Southern Mississippi vs UTSA Prediction
UTSA is coming into this game as a 32.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UTSA has been playing great all season long and they are really a complete team with a good offense and a good defense. They have been smashing teams in their conference games. Recently, their defense has slipped up a bit allowing 20 PPG on average in their last 2 games but they played some teams that have some decent offenses. USM has been awful on offense and on defense as they have been getting blown out in their recent games and pretty much all season. UTSA will be able to hold them from scoring a lot with their defense while running up the score and pulling away throughout the game with that great offense. The best bet to place in this game is on UTSA to cover the spread here.
Southern Mississippi UTSA Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is UTSA 45 USM 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: 112-132 O/U in all games. 33-54 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 58-63 O/U in road games. 37-45 O/U after playing 3 straight conference games.
UTSA Roadrunners: 50-61 O/U in all games. 18-30 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 17-29 O/U as a favorite. 11-20 O/U as a home favorite. 24-29 O/U in home games. 33-41 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: T. Keyes (QB) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. C. Pittman (WR) out for season - Lower Body injury. T. Lowe (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. D. Maberry (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
UTSA Roadrunners: B. Brady (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Davis (C) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“They have great tradition. I am very impressed with how hard they play. You have a new program with a new coach coming in there. There is a lot of tradition and they have a lot of athletes.” Jeff Traylor on facing Southern Miss this week.
"That's as good as we've ever been offensively. It's just a November to remember. We're stacking one great day on top of another. We have really good players, they're talented, and they're a blast to coach." - Jeff Traylor on his team’s performance in their games this November.
Starting Lineups
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Dennis, Brad
WR Jones, Demarcus
TE Gunter, Grayson
QB Lange, Jake
RB Gore Jr., Frank
FB Cavallo, Cole
UTSA Roadrunners
WR De'Corian Clark
WR Zakhari Franklin
WR Joshua Cephus
TE Watson, Leroy
QB Harris, Frank
RB McCormick, Sincere
Statistical Leaders
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Passing: J. Lange (843)
Rushing: F. Gore Jr. (608)
Receiving: J. Brownlee (427)
Touchdowns: J. Brownlee (4)
UTSA Roadrunners
Passing: F. Harris (2079)
Rushing: S. McCormick (1060)
Receiving: Z. Franklin (686)
Touchdowns: S. McCormick (10)
Coaches:
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: Will Hall (1st season)
UTSA Roadrunners: Jeff Traylor (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
