by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 05, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 6, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 29-30 (4th place, AL West)
San Diego Padres: 27-32 (4th place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-30 record overall and have a road record of 12-15. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Padres on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 4 IP against the New York Yankees.
The Padres are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-32 record overall and have a home record of 13-17. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday with the series finale of their series against the Chicago Cubs still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Blake Snell is their starting pitcher on Monday while Joe Musgrove is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-2 with a 4.71 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins.
Mariners vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't been great this season as they are struggling to get over the .500 mark but the Padres haven't been any better in their games as they are also struggling to get over .500. Both of these teams have really good lineups that have been underperforming all season as both offenses are in the bottom half of the MLB. The Mariners have Gilbert starting though and that is going to be big for them since he has been one of their best starters going back to last season. He does not give up many runs in his starts often, he did give up 5 runs in his last start but he will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance here and the Padres offense hasn't been great this season anyway. Musgrove is starting for the Padres here and he is coming off a good start but he hasn't pitched in many starts this year as he has been dealing with injuries and he is still trying to find his groove as a starter this season. The Mariners have the better pitching matchup in this game and Gilbert is the kind of starter who can go deep and carry this team to a much needed win when their offense isn't performing well. The Mariners were also swept in their last series so they are going to be desperate to get a win and turn things around here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Mariners Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 6, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 2 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 95-70 (+30.3 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 49-40 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 12-4 OVER off 2 straight road losses against a division rival. 20-12 OVER after a loss by 6 runs or more.
San Diego Padres: 11-17 (-15 units) on the moneyline in home games. 9-18 (-16.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 16-7 OVER against AL West opponents. JOE MUSGROVE is 12-7 OVER in an inter-league game.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: J. Crawford (SS) Ques Tues - Knee. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. Moore (RF) Mid June - Oblique. A. Munoz (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. P. Murfee (SP) Mid June - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm.
San Diego Padres: R. Odor (RF) Ques Mon - Groin. X. Bogaerts (SS) Ques Mon - Wrist. N. Cruz (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. A. Morejon (SP) Mid June - Elbow. N. Crismatt (RP) Mid June - Hip. S. Lugo (RP) Mid June - Calf. L. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We’re not playing winning baseball against top-flight teams. It’s one of the best offenses we’ve seen all year. Ton of credit there. And on the flip side, we didn’t pitch our best, or play our best, in this series.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
“We came off last night's game going out there with a lot of energy today to try to turn the corner. It didn't happen again today. That's been the biggest problem with us this year is when we do have really good games you would think that you would gain something from that, and we have not.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
Jarred Kelenic (L) LF
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Ty France (R) 1B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Mike Ford (L) DH
Jose Caballero (R) SS
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Alfonso Rivas (L) 1B
Austin Nola (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Jarred Kelenic (.270)
Hits: Ty France (61)
Home Runs: Jarred Kelenic (10)
RBI: Eugenio Suarez (35)
Stolen Bases: Julio Rodriguez (12)
Wins: George Kirby (5)
Saves: Paul Sewald (11)
ERA: Easton McGee (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Alfonso Rivas (.333)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (54)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (11)
RBI: Juan Soto (27)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (11)
Wins: Michael Wacha (5)
Saves: Josh Hader (13)
ERA: Tom Cosgrove (0.00)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
