Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2023

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 9, 2023

Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Seattle Mariners:  44-43 (3rd place, AL West)

Houston Astros:  49-40 (2nd place, AL West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 79-55 ($16.3K) this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-43 record overall and have a road record of 20-23. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Astros on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of this series on Thursday and Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-5 with a 3.82 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 9 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Astros are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-40 record overall and have a home record of 24-21. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of this series on Thursday and Friday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Framber Valdez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Brandon Bielak is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-4 with a 3.81 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have been getting hot lately just like the Mariners have been and after losing the first 2 games of this series to them, the Astros will be desperate to win this game and at least salvage this series at home. Their offense has been getting a lot better lately and they are going to get their scoring opportunities in this game. The Mariners have Gilbert starting here and he has been a solid starter this season, also coming off a great start in his last one where he allowed no runs and pitched all 9 innings of the game, but it will be very tough for him to repeat that performance here in another road game and the Astros are going to be looking to get after him since they were held to just 1 run in both of the first 2 games of this series. The Astros have Bielak starting here and he has been really reliable as a starter for them all year. He pitched really well in his last start and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. The Mariners offense has been good lately but Bielak will pitch well against them at home here and the Astros offense will be eager to put up runs in this game and help carry the team to a win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 9, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 6 Mariners 1.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Seattle Mariners Houston Astros prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Seattle Mariners: 44-43 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-35 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 23-15 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. LOGAN GILBERT is 16-8 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing.

Houston Astros: 30-14 (+14.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 16-9 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 22-15 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 6-2 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 

Seattle Mariners:  B. Miller (SP) Late July - Finger. M. Gonzales (SP) Mid July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Houston Astros:  J. Altuve (2B) Out Indefinitely - Oblique. F. Valdez (SP) Prob Sat - Ankle. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Late July - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. Y. Alvarez (LF) Mid July - Oblique. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“The game was all about the big inning. Big night offensively. We had 13 hits, but more importantly, eight walks. We did a really good job of controlling the strike zone tonight.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Friday.

“He really didn’t have command of his breaking stuff or his fastball really. His fastball was high; his breaking ball was low. ... That was a tough inning. I don’t think I’ve seen a nine-run inning in a long time.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Friday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Ty France (R) 1B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Mike Ford (L) DH

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Mauricio Dubon (R) 2B

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Jose Abreu (R) 1B

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Yainer Diaz (R) DH

Corey Julks (R) LF

Chas McCormick (R) CF

Martin Maldonado (R) C

Batting Average:  Mike Ford (.282)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (90)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (20)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (16)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.290)

Hits:  Kyle Tucker (92)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (17)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (55)

Stolen Bases:  Corey Julks (15)

Wins:  Cristian Javier (7)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (19)

ERA:  Hector Neris (1.47)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)