Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 8, 2023

Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Astros -140; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Astros -140; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +120, Astros -140; Over/Under:  7 runs

Seattle Mariners:  43-43 (4th place, AL West)

Houston Astros:  49-39 (2nd place, AL West)

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Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

Houston Astros:  7-3 last 10

The Mariners are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-43 record overall and have a road record of 19-23. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also won the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Luis Castillo is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Astros are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-39 record overall and have a home record of 24-20. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Hunter Brown is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-6 with a 2.49 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been playing a lot better in their games lately as their offense is getting hot now and they are starting to go on a bit of a roll. The Astros have also been starting to roll lately as their offense is also picking up now, but their pitching hasn't been as good lately as it has been all season and that is an area the Mariners can take advantage of here. The Astros have Valdez starting here and he has been great for most of the season but he did give up 4 runs in his last start and has missed some time recently as he is dealing with an injury now. He is returning in this game but he is still going to be bothered by it as it has kept him out of the rotation a little bit and the Mariners offense will be able to get after him for some runs as they look to finish strong into the All-Star break. The Mariners are going with rookie Woo in this game and he has been really solid in his few starts this season as he hasn't been giving up many runs. The Astros offense has been getting better lately but Woo will put up a good performance here like he has been doing all season and the Mariners offense will be able to carry the load in this game as they take advantage of the poor pitching that the Astros have been dealing with lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Mariners Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 8, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Mariners 7 Astros 4.

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Seattle Mariners: 43-43 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 35-35 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 30-18 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5. BRYAN WOO is 4-1 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Houston Astros: 61-35 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 16-8 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 9-5 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5. FRAMBER VALDEZ is 21-15 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 

Seattle Mariners:  B. Miller (SP) Late July - Finger. M. Gonzales (SP) Mid July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

Houston Astros:  J. Altuve (2B) Out Indefinitely - Oblique. F. Valdez (SP) Prob Sat - Ankle. M. Brantley (DH) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Urquidy (SP) Late July - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) out for season - Elbow. Y. Alvarez (LF) Mid July - Oblique. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Home runs work and we saw it tonight.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Thursday.

“Just keep it coming. It's just a matter of belief. When you're feeling hot you think you're going to get a hit every time up.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Thursday.

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Ty France (R) 1B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Mike Ford (L) DH

Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Mauricio Dubon (R) 2B

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Kyle Tucker (L) RF

Jose Abreu (R) 1B

Yainer Diaz (R) DH

Chas McCormick (R) CF

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Corey Julks (R) LF

Martin Maldonado (R) C

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.277)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (88)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (20)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (16)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Batting Average:  Kyle Tucker (.293)

Hits:  Kyle Tucker (92)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (17)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (55)

Stolen Bases:  Corey Julks (15)

Wins:  Cristian Javier (7)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (19)

ERA:  Hector Neris (1.51)

Managers:

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)