by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jun 30, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 1, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: SNY
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Giants +145, Mets -170; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Giants +145, Mets -170; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Giants +145, Mets -170; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
San Francisco Giants: 45-36 (3rd place, NL West)
New York Mets: 36-45 (4th place, NL East)
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Recent Form
San Francisco Giants: 6-4 last 10
New York Mets: 3-7 last 10
San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Giants are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-36 record overall and have a road record of 22-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Alex Cobb is their starting pitcher on Friday while Anthony DeSclafani is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-7 with a 4.28 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Mets are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-45 record overall and have a home record of 18-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Giants on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Friday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-4 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Giants vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been having a good season this year with a losing record and a terrible offense, but they do have a really good pitching matchup in this game and a chance to turn things around at home here. The Giants have been red hot lately with a really good offense but they cooled off in their last series against the Blue Jays and now they are starting DeSclafani in this game who has definitely been a hole in their starting rotation this season. DeSclafani only gave up 2 runs in his last start but that has been a good start for him this season as giving up a ton of runs in his games has become a common theme. The Mets haven't had a great offense but they have been putting up more runs in their games lately and they will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here. The Mets also have Verlander on the mound and he is coming off a great start in his last one. He has also been a solid starter for them this season and throughout his career, and he is a really reliable starter to lean on especially when they need a win as badly as they do. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Giants Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 1, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Giants 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Francisco Giants: 22-15 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-13 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-5 UNDER against NL East opponents. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI is 20-11 UNDER against NL East opponents.
New York Mets: 36-45 (-24.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-18 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 10-1 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 23-12 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
San Francisco Giants: M. Conforto (LF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. L. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Yastrzemski (RF) Early July - Hamstring. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. S. Alexander (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Cobb (SP) Prob Fri - Oblique. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Ramos (LF) Late July - Oblique. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder. L. Gonzalez (CF) Mid July - Back.
New York Mets: E. Hernandez (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Keaton, I think, has a chance to be an excellent major league starter because he has stuff and command.” - Gabe Kapler after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Thursday.
“We need a swinging bunt in that situation, a wild pitch, a break that kind of goes our way. Right now we’re pretty snake-bitten with it but keep thinking tomorrow is the day that we get some footing.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
San Francisco Giants
LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) 1B
Thairo Estrada (R) 2B
Joc Pederson (L) LF
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Patrick Bailey (S) DH
Blake Sabol (L) C
Austin Slater (R) RF
Luis Matos (R) CF
Brandon Crawford (L) SS
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) 3B
Statistical Leaders
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average: Austin Slater (.368)
Hits: Thairo Estrada (76)
Home Runs: Michael Conforto (12)
RBI: J.D. Davis (44)
Stolen Bases: Thairo Estrada (18)
Wins: Logan Webb (7)
Saves: Camilo Doval (23)
ERA: Tyler Rogers (1.79)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (87)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (24)
RBI: Pete Alonso (55)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (21)
Wins: Max Scherzer (7)
Saves: David Robertson (11)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
