San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2023

Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Friday, July 14, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -115, Phillies -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

San Diego Padres:  43-47 (4th place, NL West)

Philadelphia Phillies:  48-41 (3rd place, NL East)

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San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-47 record overall and have a road record of 18-24. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Joe Musgrove was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-6 with a 4.87 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the New York Mets.

The Phillies are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-41 record overall and have a home record of 22-16. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Aaron Nola was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies were really hot going into the All-Star break as they have been on a big run lately, surging their way up the standings in the NL East. The Padres were also starting to get hot in their games going into the All-Star break but they have been a team that has struggled to win games all season with their losing record still and that break in momentum was not a good thing for them when they have been struggling so much. The Phillies are in a much better space right now and will be trying to come out of the break strong as they look to continue the run they have been on. They also have Sanchez starting in this game and he has been really good in his few starts this season, not giving up many runs in any of his starts. The Padres offense hasn't been good this season and their already struggling offense will have a tough time trying to put up runs in this game on the road when Sanchez has been pitching so well lately. The Padres also have Darvish starting here and he hasn't been nearly as good as he was last season, giving up a lot more runs in his starts this year. He has also been giving up a lot of runs in his starts lately and that will be a problem here since the Phillies offense has been so good lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Padres Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 14, 2023 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Padres 3.

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San Diego Padres: 43-47 (-19.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-24 (-10 units) on the moneyline in road games. 21-9 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Philadelphia Phillies: 24-11 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 58-42 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline after 2 or more consecutive overs. 10-4 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 13-6 UNDER off 2 straight road losses against a division rival.

San Diego Padres:  D. Carlton (RP) Late July - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Late July - Shoulder. E. Rosario (3B) Late July - Ankle. R. Suarez (SP) Late July - Arm. S. Wilson (SP) Late July - Pectoral. X. Bogaerts (SS) Prob Fri - Wrist. R. Knehr (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Harrison (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. N. Song (SP) Late July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Late July - Oblique. B. Harper (DH) Ques Fri - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“It feels good taking two of three from them, especially going up against Scherzer today; tough competition, really good pitcher with a lot of accolades. Manny getting us started with a three-run lead early there really set the tone for us and allowed me to go out and be really aggressive.” - Joe Musgrove after their win against the Mets in their game on Sunday.

“We lost two out of three against these guys and that’s going to happen. But I feel really good about this club. I love the rotation, the bullpen’s been great and I think there’s more offense there. We haven’t peaked there and we will.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.

Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B

Juan Soto (L) LF

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B

Gary Sanchez (R) C

Rougned Odor (L) DH

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

Cristian Pache (R) CF

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.500)

Hits:  Fernando Tatis (85)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (16)

RBI:  Manny Machado (49)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (16)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (21)

ERA:  Pedro Avila (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (104)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (22)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (57)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (19)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (10)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (14)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)