San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/18/2021

by James Q

Wednesday, Nov 17, 2021

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/18/2021


Game Time: 8:00 PM ET, Thursday, November 18th, 2021 
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Spread: T-Wolves -2.5; O/U: 222
BetMGM:  Spread: T-Wolves -2; O/U: 222.5
VegasInsider:  Spread:  T-Wolves -2: O/U: 222.5 

Season Record

Timberwolves: 4-9, 12th place Western Conference
Spurs: 4-10, 13th place Western Conference

This game should be a PK… Neither opponent in this contest is reliable to any oddsmakers.  They are losers this season and the T-Wolves have been losers for over a decade.  Both squads could win or lose this matchup by a big margin.  The T-Wolves are favored because they have 3 exciting stars, but the Minnesota Timberwolves odds of getting above .500 this season are low… because they have 3 YOUNG stars. 

The Spurs on the other hand lost Demar DeRozan in the off-season and failed to replace him with anyone… there is a lot of that in recent Spurs history… Is Derrick White now their best player?...  Do they have a best player?  Will they ever let us into the info of how one of the NBA’s favorite teams will rebuild?  

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Offensive Analysis

The San Antonio Spurs are tied for 25th in the league in offensive production, they have a score of 102.0.  For the offensive rating.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are the other team tied for 25th in the league in offensive production.  They have a score of 105.9.

The two teams have identically bad defensive ratings of 106.3.  The T-Wolves are worse than the Spurs at FG%... The Spurs are worse than the T-Wolves on the boards.  These stats say that the point spread is based entirely on who the home team is… after that they are equally bad at everything.

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 


Our prediction for Thursday, November 18th is…  Spurs 108 - Timberwolves 100

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NBA Betting Trends

Minnesota is 5-0 ATS versus San Antonio over the last 3 seasons.
Minnesota is 3-0 ATS versus San Antonio at Minnesota over the last 3 seasons.
2 of 3 games in this series have gone Over the total over the last 3 seasons.


Injury list
Spurs:  C Jakob Poeltl (COVID) OUT ** PF Zach Collins (Ankle) OUT
T-Wolves: PG D’ Angelo Russell (ankle) Quest

Starting Lineups

Spurs: PG Dejounte Murray, SG Derrick White, SF Doug McDermott, PF Keldon Johnson, C Drew Eubanks

T-Wolves: PG Patrick Beverley, SG D’Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns

Statistical Leaders

Spurs
Points: Dejounte Murray 18.9
Rebounds: Dejounte Murray 8.1
Assists: Dejounte Murray 8.1
Steals: Dejounte Murray 2.1
Blocks: Drew Eubanks 1

T-Wolves
Points: Karl-Anthony Towns 23.2
Rebounds: Karl-Anthony Towns 9.6
Assists: D’Angelo Russell 5.5
Steals: Karl-Anthony Towns 1.6
Blocks: Karl-Anthony Towns 1.1

The Statlines of both these teams are terrible.  One guy should never have 4 categories.  It means the team has a poorly balanced roster.  They either have an all-star that doesn’t play well with his teammates or they have 4 guys simply not good enough to be that all-star’s teammate.

Coaches

Spurs:  Gregg Popovich.  Longtime Head coach of the Spurs… a hall of famer… a fistful of championship rings.

T-Wolves: Chris Finch.  Rookie NBA head coach.  Coach Finch went undrafted in the 1992 NBA draft… Then spent 1993-1997 in the European Leagues/Minor leagues.
 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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