Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/19/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings -0.5, Mavs +0.5; Over/Under:  246.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings -0.5, Mavs +0.5; Over/Under:  246.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings -0.5, Mavs +0.5; Over/Under:  246.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  7-4 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  9-3 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 7-4 record overall and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Portland Trail Blazers, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 43 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 27 points. Malik Monk led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 54.1% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.5 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 7-4 this season and their O/U record is 6-5.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Wizards in their last game, but this is also the 2nd leg of a back-to-back with their game against the Milwaukee Bucks still to be played on Saturday night. In their game against the Wizards, Tim Hardaway Jr. led the team in points in that game with 31 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 26 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.2% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 58.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.7 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 7-5 this season and their O/U record is 10-2.

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 0.5 favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings have looked really good this season with their 7-4 record overall. They are only 3-3 in their road games this year but they are rested coming into this game and they have been rolling lately too, winning 5 games in a row. The Mavericks have also looked really good this season with their 9-3 record overall and they have been really good at home too with their 4-1 home record. As good as they have been this year, they are at a disadvantage here since they will have no rest for this game. The Kings are rested while the Mavericks are playing on Saturday night and they have a really tough game on the road against the Bucks which they will be trying to win. This is a bad spot for them to come back home on a B2B against a rested Kings team that was 3rd in the West last season and looking to get back to that. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Kings 134 Mavericks 126.

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Sacramento Kings: 34-16 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 13-4 ATS after scoring 120 points or more in 3 straight games. 23-15 OVER against Southwest division opponents. 8-4 OVER off 2 or more consecutive road wins. 

Dallas Mavericks: 5-12 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 13-22 ATS in November games. 10-2 OVER in all games. 10-2 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 4-1 OVER in home games.

Sacramento Kings:  A. Len (C) Mid Jan - Ankle. T. Lyles (PF) Out indefinitely - Calf.

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (PG) Prob Sat - Foot. M. Kleber (PF) Early Dec - Toe.

“I’m not one of those guys that are like, ‘I think it’s dumb,’ because I don’t. I think it could be interesting for this league. Like I said, almost every league in the world does some type of in-season tournament, so I think it’s cool that the NBA is trying to implement it.” - De’Aaron Fox after their win against the Spurs in their game on Friday.

“I thought Luka and that group set the tone, understanding getting in at four in the morning, the (potential) excuses of being tired or scheduling. I thought the maturity and the trust, to execute, I thought they did a great job from the start." - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Wednesday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF Grant Williams

C Dereck Lively II

PPG: D. Fox (32.2)

APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.9)

PPG: L. Doncic (30.7)

APG: L. Doncic (8.1)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (7.8)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)