Purdue Boilermakers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/19/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jan 18, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 19, 2023
Venue:  Williams Arena, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -14, Minnesota +14; Over/Under:  133 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -14, Minnesota +14; Over/Under:  133 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -14, Minnesota +14; Over/Under:  133 points

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  17-1 (6-1) (1st place, Big Ten)
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  7-9 (1-5) (14th place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  2-3  last 5


Purdue Boilermakers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview and Analysis


Purdue is coming into this game with a 17-1 record overall and they are 5-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 6-1 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Penn State Nittany Lions, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and the Michigan State Spartans in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 32 while Fletcher Loyer was next on the team with 17 points. Braden Smith led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 42.3% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.2 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 7-10-1 this season and their O/U record is 6-12.


Minnesota is coming into this game with a 7-9 record overall and they are 5-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 1-5 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Dawson Garcia led the team in points in that game with 17 while Ta'Lon Cooper was next on the team with 16 points. Dawson Garcia and Pharrel Payne each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Pharrel Payne led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 36.2% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 64.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Minnesota has an ATS record of 6-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 5-11.



Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has been having a great season so far with a 17-1 record overall and they are ranked as one of the best teams in the country. They have been playing well in their conference games with a 5-1 record there and they have even been crushing teams in road games all year with their perfect 5-0 road record. Minnesota has been terrible this year with a losing 7-9 record overall and a 1-5 conference record this season. They are at the bottom of the Big Ten conference and have even struggled to win games at home with just a 5-5 home record. They have not only been losing games, but they have been losing these games badly in big blowouts and even though they are at home here, they still haven't played great there this year and they will have no answers for one of the best teams in the country here. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.

Purdue Minnesota Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, January 19, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 86 Minnesota 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Purdue Boilermakers: 16-9 ATS off a close road win by 3 points or less. 12-6 UNDER in all games. 65-35 UNDER in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 2-8 ATS in all home games. 1-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 11-5 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries


Purdue Boilermakers:  None.
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  J. Battle (F) Ques Thurs - Back. I. Ihnen (F) out for season - Knee. P. Fox (F) out for season - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“Yeah, he is a good player, man. He has worked really hard, obviously. He's very unique with all the cargo and size, just a big dude. He's just worked on his game and done a lot for us. But you know, to be able to play those kinds of minutes and get 17 rebounds is pretty impressive. Pretty impressive for him. But he's someone who has always had good cardiovascular, and he has always been able to play. We just had Trevion Williams before, so they split time, so it was easier to kind of run those guys in and kind of see who's playing well in the game.” - Matt Painter on Zach Edey after his team’s win against MSU in their last game.


"That's a good team and I don't think that's any secret. They're arguably the most talented team in the league. But we got to do our job and our part better, especially when you're playing well. To have that lull in the second half that's what is disappointing." - Ben Johnson after his team’s loss against Illinois in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
C. Furst 
F. Loyer 
E. Morton 
B. Smith

Minnesota Golden Gophers
J. Battle 
T. Cooper 
D. Garcia 
J. Ola-Joseph 
T. Samuels

Statistical Leaders


Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Z. Edey (21.9)
APG: B. Smith (4.1)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (13.4)

Minnesota Golden Gophers
PPG: D. Garcia (15.6)
APG: T. Cooper (6.1)
Reb/G: D. Garcia (6.6)

Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (18th season)
Minnesota Golden Gophers: Ben Johnson (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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