Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2025

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 26, 2025

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  MLBN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -121, Yankees -101; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Yankees +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -120, Yankees +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  58-44 (2nd place, NL East)

New York Yankees:  56-46 (2nd place, AL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-44 record overall and have a road record of 25-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 4 SO on 8 hits through 4.1 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-46 record overall and have a home record of 30-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .787 OPS. Will Warren is their starting pitcher on Friday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 5.64 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 walks with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked really good in their games this season with their 58-44 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 25-25 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-46 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 30-19 home record this year. Neither team has looked great lately as both are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but the Phillies do have the better pitching matchup here and can take advantage of that. Suarez is on the mound for the Phillies in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs at all. He did give up 6 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and he will be looking to bounce back with a better start. The Yankees are going with Stroman in this one and he hasn't looked good in his few starts this year. He is 2-1 with a 5.64 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs lately. The team has had some success lately, winning 2 games in a row now with him starting, and he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start too, but he hasn't been a reliable starter this season and the Phillies offense has been putting up some runs lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Phillies Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 26, 2025 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Yankees 4.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 27-17 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 68-48 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 175-126 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 9-4 OVER after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents.

New York Yankees: 18-23 (-12.3 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 239-200 (-27.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 120-98 (-27 units) on the moneyline in home games. 18-8 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Ross (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. A. Bohm (3B) Ten Day IL - Ribcage. A. Nola (SP) Sixty Day IL - Ankle.

New York Yankees:  C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. Y. De Los Santos (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Yeah, pretty awesome, obviously on an individual note. Super happy about it." - Bryce Harper on hitting 350 career homers in their loss against the Red Sox on Wednesday.

“Giving them extra outs, whether it’s through making an error or not making a play that we need to make, that’s cost us in these two series up here. We’ve got to obviously tighten it up. We’ll continue to work at it. We have good defenders here, but tonight was obviously a rough night.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Max Kepler (L) LF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Cody Bellinger (L) RF

Aaron Judge (R) DH

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jasson Domínguez (S) LF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

J.C. Escarra (L) C

Oswald Peraza (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.290)

Hits:  Trea Turner (119)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (34)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (78)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (25)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (9)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Daniel Robert (1.42)

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.345)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (129)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (84)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (14)

Wins:  Max Fried (11)

Saves:  Devin Williams (15)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)