Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 9, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -105, Marlins -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -105, Marlins -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -105, Marlins -115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  48-39 (3rd place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  51-39 (2nd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

Miami Marlins:  5-5 last 10

The Phillies are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-39 record overall and have a road record of 26-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-5 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 12 Ks on 5 hits through 7.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Marlins are entering this series off of a loss but won their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-39 record overall and have a home record of 28-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .723 OPS. Braxton Garrett is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-5 with a 3.32 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been red hot entering this series and they have been winning a lot of their road games lately but the Marlins have also been really hot themselves and they have been killing it in their home games all season. Both of these offenses have been putting up runs lately and both of these bullpens have been performing well lately so this is a game that could come down to the starters and the Marlins definitely have the edge in that area. The Marlins are going with Luzardo on the mound here and he has been great all season, not giving up many runs in his starts. He has also been a solid starter for them in their home games and has not been giving up many runs in his starts lately either. The Phillies have been hot but they have been winning a lot of their games lately with good pitching as their offense has been cooling off a bit and Luzardo will have an easier time shutting them down at home here. The Phillies also have Nola starting here and even though he is coming off a good road start in his last one, he hasn't been great in his starts lately as he is giving up a lot of runs and he has also been terrible in his road starts as he has been giving up a ton of runs in those all season. The Marlins are going to get their scoring opportunities here with the way Nola has been pitching lately and the Marlins pitching staff will keep the Phillies offense at bay to win this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Phillies Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 9, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 9-14 (-5.1 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-13 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 15-8 UNDER against left-handed starters.

Miami Marlins: 51-39 (+14.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-13 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 12-6 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 22-15 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Mid July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Mid July - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. E. Cabrera (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Nance (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We hit the ball hard off Alcantara. We hit into some bad luck. We couldn't string anything together, but I thought we hit some really hard ball right at people. I liked our approach.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Friday.

“I think it was a good outing for me, bouncing back from the previous one. Pitches, some of them were not landing where I wanted, but I’ve got to continue going out there.” - Eury Perez after their loss against the Cardinals in their game on Thursday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Darick Hall (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Dane Myers (R) CF

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.326)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (103)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (22)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (57)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (19)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (10)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (14)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.386)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (125)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (22)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (49)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (7)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (14)

ERA:  Eury Perez (2.36)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)