Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 8, 2023
Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Where to Watch: BSFL
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Phillies +110, Marlins -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Phillies +110, Marlins -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Phillies +110, Marlins -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Philadelphia Phillies: 47-39 (3rd place, NL East)
Miami Marlins: 51-38 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies: 8-2 last 10
Miami Marlins: 6-4 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Preview and Analysis
The Phillies are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-39 record overall and have a road record of 25-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 3.67 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 5.1 IP against the Washington Nationals.
The Marlins are entering this series off of a loss but won their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-38 record overall and have a home record of 28-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Sandy Alcantara is their starting pitcher on Friday while Braxton Garrett is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 3.61 ERA this season. His team won their last 7 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is a very important series to these two teams as the Marlins are in 2nd place of the NL East, trailing the Braves by over 10 games, but the Phillies are right on their tail only a few games behind in 3rd place. The Phillies have been red hot in their road games lately too but this Marlins team has been great in their home games all season and will be looking to keep on their roll here. They have Garrett on the mound in this game and he has been pitching great in his starts lately, not only giving up very few runs in his starts but the team itself has also won their last 7 games with him starting. The Phillies have had a very good offense lately but Garrett will have the comfort of pitching at home here and will put up another good performance like he has been doing lately. The Phillies have Suarez on the mound here and he hasn't been bad this year but he has been giving up more runs in his starts lately and just gave up 5 runs in his last start too. The Marlins offense has been getting hot lately and they are going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get at home here where they have been a much better team. The Marlins have also had some great pitching over the last few weeks and their bullpen will be able to take this game home as the Phillies lineup will struggle against this good quality pitching staff. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.
Phillies Marlins Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 8, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Phillies 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Philadelphia Phillies: 9-14 (-5.1 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-13 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 15-8 UNDER against left-handed starters.
Miami Marlins: 51-38 (+15.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-13 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 12-6 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. BRAXTON GARRETT is 26-14 UNDER in all games.
Key Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies: N. Song (SP) Mid July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Mid July - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.
Miami Marlins: J. Davis (CF) Mid Sept - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. E. Cabrera (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Nance (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It was a good battle.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Thursday.
“I think it was a good outing for me, bouncing back from the previous one. Pitches, some of them were not landing where I wanted, but I’ve got to continue going out there.” - Eury Perez after their loss against the Cardinals in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Trea Turner (R) SS
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryce Harper (L) DH
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Darick Hall (L) 1B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
Miami Marlins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Jorge Soler (R) DH
Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF
Jesus Sanchez (L) RF
Garrett Cooper (R) 1B
Joey Wendle (L) SS
Jean Segura (R) 3B
Dane Myers (R) CF
Nick Fortes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Cristian Pache (.310)
Hits: Nick Castellanos (102)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (22)
RBI: Alec Bohm (56)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (19)
Wins: Taijuan Walker (10)
Saves: Craig Kimbrel (13)
ERA: Jose Alvarado (1.38)
Miami Marlins
Batting Average: Dane Myers (.455)
Hits: Luis Arraez (124)
Home Runs: Jorge Soler (22)
RBI: Jorge Soler (49)
Stolen Bases: Jazz Chisholm (14)
Wins: Jesus Luzardo (7)
Saves: A.J. Puk (14)
ERA: Eury Perez (2.36)
Managers:
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)
Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)