Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, July 7, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Phillies -125, Marlins +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Philadelphia Phillies:  46-39 (3rd place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  51-37 (2nd place, NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

Miami Marlins:  7-3 last 10

The Phillies entered their last series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1. They enter this game with a 46-39 record overall and have a road record of 24-23. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Thursday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-4 with a 4.03 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Washington Nationals.

The Marlins entered their last series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves. They enter this game with a 51-37 record overall and have a home record of 28-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday with the series finale of their series against the St Louis Cardinals still to be played on Thursday. They also won the 1st game, 2nd game, and the 3rd game of that series on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Eury Pérez is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Sandy Alcantara is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-7 with a 4.93 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been rolling in their games lately as they are climbing the standings in the NL East and have been rolling over teams in their road games lately. The Marlins have also become a force in the NL East lately though as they are in 2nd place and have been on a roll lately too. With 2 hot teams here fighting for position in the division and 2 offenses that have been rolling with the runs they are putting up in games, this game is going to come down to pitching and the Marlins have the edge with the pitching matchup in this game. The Marlins are going with Alcantara in this game who is coming off a bad start and hasn't been great this season but he was their ace last year and has started to pitch a lot better in his starts lately. He is going to be looking to bounce back from that last performance and he will pitch much better being at home for this game. The Phillies have Wheeler on the mound here and he has been a solid starter for them but he has also been giving up more runs in his starts this year and with how good the Marlins offense has been lately, he will get himself into trouble on the road here. The Marlins are rolling right now at home and they are going to be looking to keep their lead over the Phillies in the division while also trying to catch the Braves in 1st place by gaining some ground in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Phillies Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 7, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 3 Phillies 1.

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Philadelphia Phillies: 8-14 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-13 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 15-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. ZACK WHEELER is 11-5 UNDER when the total is 7 or less.

Miami Marlins: 51-37 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 40-27 (+15.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. SANDY ALCANTARA is 22-11 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 26-12 UNDER in home games.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Mid July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Mid July - Oblique. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  J. Davis (CF) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Nardi (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. E. Cabrera (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. T. Nance (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Cueto (SP) Mid July - Bicep. T. Rogers (SP) Mid July - Bicep. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Last night we got great pitching, and tonight we got really good hitting and some clutch hitting.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

“I knew that Hampson was going to score and I was able to perceive that it was a really high throw. Just got to go for it.” - Yuli Gurriel after their win against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Darick Hall (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) RF

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Garrett Cooper (R) DH

Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Dane Myers (R) CF

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Jon Berti (R) SS

Batting Average:  Nick Castellanos (.310)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (102)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (22)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (56)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (18)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (10)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (13)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.44)

Batting Average:  Dane Myers (.571)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (121)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (22)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (49)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (7)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (14)

ERA:  George Soriano (2.45)

Managers:

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)