Ole Miss Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/03/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Alabama -12.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Alabama -12.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ole Miss +12.5, Alabama -12.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

 

Ole Miss Rebels:  8-5 (0-1) (13th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  11-2 (1-0) (3rd place, SEC)

 

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Ole Miss Rebels:  2-3  last 5

Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

 

Mississippi is coming into this game with an 8-5 record overall and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 0-1 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the North Alabama Lions and the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Jaemyn Brakefield led the team in points in that game with 18 while Amaree Abram was next on the team with 10 points. Matthew Murrell led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Myles Burns led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 37.3% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.5 PPG against them. Mississippi has an ATS record of 5-6-2 this season and their O/U record is 6-7.

 

 

Alabama is coming into this game with an 11-2 record overall and they are 6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 1-0 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Jackson State Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 20 while Brandon Miller was next on the team with 19 points. Jaden Bradley led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Brandon Miller led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 45.6% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.7 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 6-6-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-5.

The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 12.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss hasn't been great this year with an 8-5 record this season and they have already lost their only road game and their only conference game played this season. They have still been pretty good in their games though as they don't give up many points and tend to keep their games lower in score. Even in their losses this year, a majority of them have been in low scoring games where they play good defense and most of their losses have also been within single digits. Alabama has been having a great season so far with an 11-2 record overall and they are undefeated through 6 home games this season, but they haven't been covering the spread in a lot of their games and this is a lot of points to lay with them considering Ole Miss will come with a very tough defensive style and will make Alabama earn their win at home. This is too many points for Alabama to cover even if they do win this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game.

 

Ole Miss Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 3, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 71 Ole Miss 64.

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Ole Miss Rebels: 27-9 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 27-16 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog. 16-9 UNDER as an underdog.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 17-24 ATS after a conference game. 12-30 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 58-34 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.

 

 

Ole Miss Rebels:  None.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  N. Burnett (G) Early Feb - Wrist.

 

 

"Temple has had good wins. They spread you out. I thought in the first half, Temple came out and played really hard, but we had so many balls at the rim. We had looks that we liked, but we kept defending.” - Kermit Davis Jr. after his team’s win against Temple a few weeks ago.

 

 

“As far as the game goes, look, they’re a tough team. They make it difficult on you. They turn people over. We had 19 turnovers, which obviously is not good, but I thought we were able to overcome them with how hard we played. We out-rebounded them. They really hang their hat on how hard they play, how well they rebound. For us to rebound them – I thought our defense was better than theirs. We chart blue-collar points, and us having 14 more blue-collar points than them, I thought our effort was really good. We made some tough plays, got on the floor. I was proud of our guys.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Mississippi State in their last game.

 

 

 

A. Abram 

J. Brakefield 

M. Burns 

J. McKinnis 

M. Murrell

 

C. Bediako 

N. Burnett 

N. Clowney 

B. Miller 

M. Sears

 

 

PPG: M. Murrell (14.8)

APG: D. Ruffin (3.3)

Reb/G: M. Burns (6.8)

 

PPG: B. Miller (19.2)

APG: J. Bradley (3.8)

Reb/G: B. Miller (8.8)

 

Coaches:

Ole Miss Rebels: Kermit Davis Jr (5th season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)