Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/24/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 24, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Timberwolves +2.5; Over/Under:  218 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Timberwolves +2.5; Over/Under:  218 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Timberwolves +2.5; Over/Under:  217.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves twice in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 38 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jalen Williams led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 59-33-4 this season and their O/U record is 51-43-2.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder twice in a row. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 32 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 22 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert and Anthony Edwards each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.4% from the field, 28.2% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 46-47-1 this season and their O/U record is 50-44.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 6th seeded Timberwolves for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are leading this series 2-0 after winning game 2 at home. The Thunder took a 2-0 series lead with a 118-103 win over the Timberwolves in the 2nd game of this series and the Thunder are starting to roll now. The Thunder have won 3 games in a row now and they have been crushing the Timberwolves in this series, winning both games against them by double digits. The Thunder have also looked a lot better on offense in this series, scoring points consistently while the Timberwolves have struggled to put up points in both games of this series. Now the Timberwolves are coming back home for game 3 and they are going to throw everything they have at the number 1 seed in the West to avoid going down 3-0 in this series, but the Timberwolves haven't shown any signs of keeping up in this series. They held their own in game 1 as they even had a lead at halftime, but that lead quickly disappeared in the 2nd half of that game and now they are coming off a loss which they trailed the whole night. The Thunder are starting to show why they had the best record in the entire NBA this season and they were also a great road team with their 32-8 road record. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 24, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 114 Timberwolves 108.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 158-109 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 110-73 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 22-16 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 1-6 ATS in the conference finals. 13-22 1H ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 5-9 1H ATS off a road loss against a division rival. 8-3 OVER when trailing in a playoff series.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

“When you win games, you do it together and you have fun out there, everything else -- all the individual stuff you want -- it comes with it." - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after their win against the Timberwolves in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

“We didn’t close the half very well. I thought if we close the half better then we don’t put ourselves on such a razor edge in the third.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)