Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/10/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 09, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  TNT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Heat -4.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
 

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  18-22 (5th place, Northwest Division)
Miami Heat:  21-20 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10
Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
The Thunder are coming into this game with an 18-22 record overall and they are 5-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Luguentz Dort was next on the team with 18 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Giddey, and Aaron Wiggins each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Kenrich Williams led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.9% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 24-16 this season and their O/U record is 24-16.
 
 
 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 21-20 record overall and they are 11-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 26 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 24 points. Victor Oladipo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Orlando Robinson led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.3% from the field, 37.1% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 16-23-2 this season and their O/U record is 19-22.

 

Thunder vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat haven't been having a great year as they struggle to stay above .500 this season with their 21-20 record right now, and they are only 11-9 in their home games too, but they have been playing a lot better in their games over the last few weeks despite coming off a loss in their last game. The Thunder haven't been any better this season as they have a losing record overall and are even 5-13 in their road games. They have won 2 games in a row now but both of those wins came at home and now they go on the road against a team they haven't had much success against lately. The Heat have a lot more talent than the Thunder do and they will put together a better performance at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game.
 
Thunder Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, January 10, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 113 Thunder 99.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma City Thunder Miami Heat prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.
 

NBA Betting Trends

 
Oklahoma City Thunder: 24-16 ATS in all games. 20-10 ATS as an underdog. 8-2 OVER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less.
Miami Heat: 16-24 ATS in all games. 4-12 ATS as a home favorite. 12-5 OVER after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Pokusevski (PF) Early Feb - Knee. O. Dieng (PF) Late Jan - Wrist. J. Robinson-Earl (PF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Holmgren (C) out for season - Foot.
Miami Heat:  T. Herro (SG) Ques Tues - Knee. C. Martin (SF) Ques Tues - Quadricep. D. Robinson (SF) Early Feb - Hamstring. N. Jovic (SF) Late Jan - Back. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Second-quarter defense was great, second-half defense was pretty good. I thought they earned the stuff they got in the second half.” - Mark Daigneault on his team’s defense after their win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.
 
 
“Jimmy made the absolute right play." - Erik Spoelstra on Jimmy Butler in the final play of the game in their loss against the Nets on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort 
PF Jalen Williams
C Jaylin Williams
 
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry 
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Jimmy Butler 
C Bam Adebayo
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.9)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (5.6)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.6)
APG: J. Butler (5.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.9)
 
Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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