Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, June 19, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5, Pacers +5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5, Pacers +5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Pacers +5.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Indiana Pacers twice in a row. Jalen Williams led the team in points in that game with 40 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 31 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.6% from the field, 43.8% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 63-37-4 this season and their O/U record is 55-47-2.

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder twice in a row. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 28 while T. J. McConnell was next on the team with 18 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bennedict Mathurin led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.1% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 49-51-3 this season and their O/U record is 54-47-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. The Thunder are leading this series 3-2 after winning game 5 at home. The Thunder took a 3-2 series lead with a 120-109 win over the Pacers in the 5th game of this series and they looked like the better team in that game from start to finish. The Pacers were never really in that game as they were always trailing by double digits for most of the game and were never really a threat to come back. Now they are going back home and will be facing elimination, but they look like they have done all that they can do against this Thunder team. The Pacers were always outmatched coming into this series and they scrapped together 2 good wins, including a road win too, but they haven't really been close in most of the games and were even trailing by double digits for most of one of the games they won. The Thunder are starting to roll now with 2 wins in a row and now that they are 1 win away from an NBA Championship, they are going to bring their best effort here to close out this series since they are the much better team. The best way to place a bet here is on the thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, June 19, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 117 Pacers 108.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 22-14 ATS against Central division opponents. 162-113 ATS in all games. 26-11 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 8-3 OVER when leading in a playoff series.

Indiana Pacers: 13-21 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 3-6 ATS on the road versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 5-9 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 6-2 OVER when trailing in a playoff series.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Walker (PF) Out - Ankle. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

“It wasn't a perfect game at all and there's a lot of room for growth. But our improvement from Game 4 to Game 5 was critical.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Pacers in game 5 of this series on Monday.

“He's not 100%. It's pretty clear.” - Rick Carlisle on the injury to Tyrese Haliburton after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 5 of this series on Monday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)