Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/13/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Friday, June 13, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6, Pacers +6; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6, Pacers +6; Over/Under:  225.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -6.5, Pacers +6.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Jalen Williams led the team in points in that game with 26 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 24 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Alex Caruso each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.8% from the field, 45.5% from 3-point range, and 76.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 61-37-4 this season and their O/U record is 54-46-2.

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Bennedict Mathurin led the team in points in that game with 27 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 22 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Tyrese Haliburton led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.8% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 49-49-3 this season and their O/U record is 53-46-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. The Pacers are leading this series 2-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Pacers took a 2-1 series lead with a 116-107 win over the Thunder in the 3rd game of this series and they have shown that they are going to put up a good fight in this series. That game was back and forth for a bit, but once the Pacers came back and took a lead they were able to stay up for most of the 2nd half. The Thunder didn't look bad in that game though and they have struggled more in their road games throughout the playoffs. They will be looking to bounce back in this one though and they are going to bring their best effort to even up this series as the last thing they want is to go back home down 3-1 in the series. They still need to flip the home advantage back in their favor so they are going to throw everything at the Pacers to win this game, and they haven't lost 2 games in a row during these playoffs yet either. The Thunder always find a way to respond after losing and this game will be no different as they will adjust to the way the Pacers played at home in that last game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, June 13, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Pacers 114.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 160-113 ATS in all games. 24-11 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 40-23 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 28-19 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Indiana Pacers: 13-19 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 14-21 ATS off a home win. 4-8 ATS at home off an upset win as an underdog. 27-13 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Walker (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

“We had a lot of good stretches of the game. But they had more good stretches than we did — and outplayed us over the course of 48 minutes.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 3 of this series on Wednesday.

“This is the kind of team that we are. We need everybody to be ready. It’s not always going to be exactly the same guys that are stepping up with scoring and stuff like that. But this is how we've got to do it.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in game 3 of this series on Wednesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)