Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/11/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Pacers +5.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Pacers +5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Pacers +5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jim Feist is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 37-26 NBA RUN for +$8,070 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 34 while Alex Caruso was next on the team with 20 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.8% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 87.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 61-36-4 this season and their O/U record is 54-45-2.

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 17 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 16 points. Tyrese Haliburton and T. J. McConnell each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 45.1% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 48-49-3 this season and their O/U record is 53-45-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder from the Western Conference and the 4th seeded Pacers from the Eastern Conference for the NBA Finals. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Thunder won game 2 at home. The Thunder made it a 1-1 series with a 123-107 win over the Pacers in the 2nd game of this series and they really bounced back nicely from that game 1 loss. The Thunder gave away their home advantage in this series with that game 1 loss, but they will be looking to get it back in this 3rd game and they have looked like the better team in both games so far. The Pacers may have won game 1 on the road, but they didn't look great for most of that game as they were trailing by double digits the entire time. They did what they do best and won that game with a very late comeback in the final minutes, but they were never even leading in that game until the go-ahead shot with 0.3 seconds left. They had the same problem in game 2 as they were trailing by double digits most of that game too, but this time the Thunder made sure to put them away. The way the Pacers won game 1 was big and they have been doing things like that all throughout the playoffs, but they didn't really show any signs in those first 2 games that they can compete with the Thunder other than catching them off-guard in game 1 with no time left to play. The Thunder may have lost the home advantage, but they are still in the better position coming into this one and they will get the home advantage back here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, June 11, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 114 Pacers 103.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma City Thunder Indiana Pacers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 20-13 ATS against Central division opponents. 24-10 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 27-15 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 28-18 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Indiana Pacers: 12-19 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 19-26 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 1-5 ATS in the 3rd game of a playoff series. 27-12 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Indiana Pacers:  J. Walker (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

“That's a long 48 hours when you lose Game 1 like that, coming into Game 2. The guys did a great job of just focusing on what we needed to do to stack to a win tonight. That's how we got it.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Pacers in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

“A bad first half, obviously, was a big problem. And we just played poorly. A little better in the second half. But you can’t be a team that’s reactive and expect to be successful or have consistency.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)