Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Celtics -4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  53-12 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Boston Celtics:  47-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 53-12 record overall this season and they are 24-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Denver Nuggets. Luguentz Dort led the team in points in that game with 26 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was next on the team with 25 points. Cason Wallace led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Isaiah Hartenstein and Luguentz Dort each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.1 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 38-24-4 this season and their O/U record is 36-28-2.

The Celtics are entering this game with a 47-18 record overall this season and they are 23-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Utah Jazz. Sam Hauser led the team in points in that game with 33 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 26 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jaylen Brown, Luke Kornet, and Neemias Queta each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43% from the field, 34% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 29-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-36.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 47-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked really good on their home court with their 23-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 53-12 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a great road team this year with their 24-7 road record. Both of these teams have been really hot lately as both are 8-2 in their last 10 games, but the Thunder are coming off a home loss to the Nuggets in their last one and have lost some of their momentum now. The Celtics have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 5 wins in a row, and they have been rolling over some of the best teams in the NBA at home lately. The Thunder may have the best record in the West and the 2nd best record in the NBA right now, but the Celtics are still the defending champions and they will bring their best effort here to show the Thunder who the real team to beat still is. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 12, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 130 Thunder 117.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 30-20 ATS as a road underdog. 8-3 ATS after allowing 135 points or more. 40-26 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 20-8 OVER against Atlantic division opponents. 25-12 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 6-3 OVER after allowing 135 points or more. 

Boston Celtics: 17-26 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 4-12 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 9-17 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 25-16 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 11-6 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 13-5 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Boston Celtics:  A. Horford (C) Day To Day - Toe. J. Tatum (PF) Day To Day - Knee. K. Porziņģis (C) Day To Day - Illness.

“They were able to limit his attempts. I do think that threw us off rhythm. That’s certainly not something we’ve seen out of (Denver) very much, if at all. I don’t think we’ve ever seen that out of them. Seen very little of that generally. It was specialized for him. I always look at that as a compliment to Shai. Now it’s on me, our staff and the team to find solutions for that.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Monday.

“It wasn’t like we were going out of our way to get him the ball. He has an innate ability to find the ball and create advantages. The guys did a great job of finding him once he got hot. There’s no shot that he shoots that we think is a bad shot.” - Joe Mazzulla on Sam Hauser after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Monday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Derrick White

SG Jrue Holiday

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Luke Kornet

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.2)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (11.2)

PPG: J. Tatum (27.2)

APG: J. Tatum (5.8)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (3rd season)