by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 09, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Venue: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNC +4.5, UVA -4.5; Over/Under: 135.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNC +4.5, UVA -4.5; Over/Under: 135.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNC +4.5, UVA -4.5; Over/Under: 135.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina Tar Heels: 11-5 (3-2) (6th place, ACC)
Virginia Cavaliers: 11-3 (3-2) (4th place, ACC)
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North Carolina Tar Heels: 4-1 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers: 3-2 last 5
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis
North Carolina is coming into this game with an 11-5 record overall and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 3-2 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their last game. Armando Bacot led the team in points in that game with 21 while Caleb Love was next on the team with 18 points. RJ Davis led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Armando Bacot led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 47.7% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 57.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.2 PPG against them. North Carolina has an ATS record of 5-10-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-6.
Virginia is coming into this game with an 11-3 record overall and they are 7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 3-2 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the Syracuse Orange in their last game. Armaan Franklin led the team in points in that game with 16 while Reece Beekman was next on the team with 13 points. Kihei Clark led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 43.4% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.6 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 4-10 this season and their O/U record is 8-6.
North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction
The current betting odds have Virginia listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia just took a loss at home last week to Pittsburgh in a game they were leading for most of the time but that was their 1st loss at home all year, still with a 7-1 home record, and they bounced back in their last game with a win over Syracuse. They have been having a good season with an 11-3 record and UNC has also been having a good year with an 11-5 record overall, but they have been terrible in road games with a 0-3 road record this season. They have also struggled against conference opponents with just a 3-2 conference record this season and even their losses on the road have not been close. Virginia plays very well defensively in their games, especially at home, and they will make it very hard on this UNC team to get out to a lead or even score points all night. Virginia will bring their best effort for a team like UNC that has a lot of talented players and they will make sure they get the win at home with a great defensive effort. The best way to place a bet here is on Virginia to cover the spread in this game.
North Carolina Virginia Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 10, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Virginia 66 North Carolina 59.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels: 5-11 ATS in all games. 8-15 ATS in road games. 15-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5.
Virginia Cavaliers: 25-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5. 24-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5. 24-12 UNDER after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds.
Key Injuries
North Carolina Tar Heels: P. Nance (F) Ques Tues - Back. W. Shaver (F) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Virginia Cavaliers: None.
Notable Quotes
“I don’t like technical fouls, but I love our team standing up for each other. Caleb standing up for Puff, I support that, I encourage that every day. That’s one of the many things that makes Caleb such a great teammate.” - Hubert Davis on Caleb Love after their win against Notre Dame in their last game.
“I’m proud of coach Bennett. He deserves it. He’s one of the best for a reason. I wouldn’t want to play for anyone else for sure.” - Isaac McKneely on Tony Bennett after their win against Syracuse in their last game.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina Tar Heels
A. Bacot
L. Black
R. Davis
C. Love
P. Nance
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman
K. Clark
A. Franklin
J. Gardner
K. Shedrick
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina Tar Heels
PPG: A. Bacot (18.8)
APG: C. Love (3.4)
Reb/G: A. Bacot (11.2)
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: K. Clark (11.4)
APG: K. Clark (6.3)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (5.3)
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (2nd season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (14th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
