New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Aug 05, 2025
Game Time: 2:35 pm ET, Wednesday, August 6, 2025
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  YES, Rangers Sports Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -137, Rangers +112; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -135, Rangers +115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -135, Rangers +115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  60-53 (3rd place, AL East)
Texas Rangers:  59-55 (3rd place, AL West)

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Recent Form
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10
Texas Rangers:  5-5 last 10



New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-53 record overall and have a road record of 26-31. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Yankees lost the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .781 OPS. Will Warren is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 11-7 with a 3.34 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 5 BB with 9 SO on 2 hits through 4.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-55 record overall and have a home record of 35-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Rangers won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jack Leiter is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-6 with a 4.10 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.1 innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners.


Yankees vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have looked good in their games this season with their 59-55 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They have also looked a lot better in their own ballpark this year with their 35-20 home record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 60-53 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 26-31 road record this season. The Yankees haven't looked great lately either and they already lost the 1st game of this series too, but they have the better pitching matchup here and they are going to be desperate to turn things around with the division getting away from them now. Rodon is on the mound for the Yankees in this one and he has been one of their best starters this season. He is 11-7 with a 3.34 ERA and the team has had a lot of success with him this season. They have struggled more lately as the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and he did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but he is still a very reliable starter for them and he will be looking to have a better start here. The Rangers don't have a great offense this year either so this is a good game for him to bounce back with a better start. The Rangers are going with Leiter in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 7-6 with a 4.10 ERA and has been really up and down this year. He has looked better lately as his team has won 3 of the last 4 games he started in and he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start too, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the Yankees still have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 6, 2025 (2:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Rangers 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 243-207 (-31.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 160-126 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 169-160 (-30 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 28-12 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season.

Texas Rangers: 53-42 (+11.7 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 132-92 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 75-73 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 19-7 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  A. Slater (LF) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Loaisiga (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Flexor Strain. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Texas Rangers:  R. Garcia (RP) Day To Day - Back. E. Carter (CF) Ten Day IL - Back. J. Webb (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Calf. J. Burger (1B) Ten Day IL - Quadriceps. T. Mahle (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Sborz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


"The season’s getting shorter in a hurry. So it's no time for excuses and feeling bad, and I know everyone feels like crap, but we’ve got to go take it. And we haven't been able to do that here on this road trip so far, but we’ve got to do better.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Monday. 


“I think, more than anything, it's wanting it. You gotta want it in the worst way. Live it, breathe it. You gotta go out every game determined to win the ballgame. And putting the losses behind you, that's gotta be important too. Because every now and then, with how tight things are, every loss can be magnified. There’s a lot of baseball left. We’ve gotta keep that focus every day.” - Bruce Bochy before his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Amed Rosario (R) RF
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Austin Slater (R) LF
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Austin Wells (L) C
José Caballero (R) 3B

Texas Rangers
Sam Haggerty (S) LF
Corey Seager (L) SS
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Adolis García (R) RF
Wyatt Langford (R) CF
Josh Jung (R) DH
Josh Smith (L) 3B
Jonah Heim (S) C
Ezequiel Duran (R) 1B

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.750)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (129)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)
Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (18)
Wins:  Max Fried (12)
Saves:  Devin Williams (17)
ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  Rowdy Tellez (.308)
Hits:  Josh Smith (96)
Home Runs:  Adolis García (16)
RBI:  Adolis García (63)
Stolen Bases:  Wyatt Langford (15)
Wins:  Jacob deGrom (10)
Saves:  Luke Jackson (9)
ERA:  Luis Curvelo (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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