New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2025

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 2, 2025

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  YES, FDSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -121, Marlins -101; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Marlins +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -120, Marlins +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

New York Yankees:  60-49 (2nd place, AL East)

Miami Marlins:  52-55 (3rd place, NL East)

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New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-49 record overall and have a road record of 26-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .784 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Cam Schlittler is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 5 SO on 7 hits through 4.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Marlins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-55 record overall and have a home record of 24-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Janson Junk is their starting pitcher on Friday while Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 60-49 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 26-27 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Marlins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 52-55 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark either with their 24-29 home record this year. They have looked a lot better lately though as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games while the Yankees are only 5-5, and the Marlins also have the better pitching matchup in this one too. The Marlins are going with Perez in this one and he has been a solid starter for them this season. He is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. The team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start which has been a common theme for him. The Yankees are going with Schlittler in this one and he hasn't been bad this season, but he hasn't been great either. He is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs. His team has had more success lately as they have won 2 of the last 3 games he started in, but he still gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and this is still his rookie season too. The Marlins can take advantage of his inexperience now that they have looked better lately and Perez will be able to keep the Yankees at bay here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Yankees Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 2, 2025 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Yankees 4.

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New York Yankees: 19-25 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 243-203 (-26.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 66-69 (-28.8 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 29-17 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.

Miami Marlins: 19-22 (+4 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 198-234 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 55-64 (+13.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 14-5 OVER at home against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees:  C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Flexor Strain. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Miami Marlins:  D. Hill (LF) Ten Day IL - Finger. J. Tinoco (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Norby (3B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. M. Meyer (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. R. Weathers (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. G. Conine (LF) Sixty Day IL - Arm. A. Nardi (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. B. Garrett (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“The reality is, we have a number of guys that are more than capable of getting the final three outs. Shortening the game has been a little bit of a challenge for us over the last month and a half, with some of the injuries we’ve had. I know we’ve got some high-powered guys now.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Thursday.

“Most proud of our ability to respond. I think that is something that as the year's gone along, that within games, within series, we just bounce back from whatever happens. And a really good sign this series with losing the last one in Milwaukee, not playing very well the first game here, to come back and put back-to-back shutouts and do a lot of little things very well. Again, speaks to that, and to win a number of games, continue to do what is required.” - Clayton McCullough after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

Ben Rice (L) C

Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B

Cody Bellinger (L) CF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jasson Domínguez (S) LF

Austin Slater (R) RF

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Xavier Edwards (S) 2B

Jesús Sánchez (L) RF

Agustín Ramírez (R) C

Kyle Stowers (L) DH

Otto Lopez (R) SS

Troy Johnston (L) 1B

Heriberto Hernandez (R) LF

Graham Pauley (L) 3B

Dane Myers (R) CF

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (129)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (16)

Wins:  Max Fried (12)

Saves:  Devin Williams (17)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rob Brantly (.429)

Hits:  Xavier Edwards (108)

Home Runs:  Kyle Stowers (23)

RBI:  Kyle Stowers (63)

Stolen Bases:  Xavier Edwards (17)

Wins:  Ronny Henriquez (6)

Saves:  Calvin Faucher (10)

ERA:  Freddy Tarnok (0.00)

Managers:

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)

Miami Marlins: Clayton McCullough (1st season)