New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 18, 2025
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 19, 2025
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  YES, FDSSE, FDSSO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -126, Braves +104; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -126, Braves +104; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Yankees -126, Braves +104; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

New York Yankees:  53-43 (2nd place, AL East)
Atlanta Braves:  42-53 (4th place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Brian Bitler is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 39-26 MLB RUN for +$14,700 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10



New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-43 record overall and have a road record of 23-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Ian Hamilton is their starting pitcher on Friday while Will Warren is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-5 with a 4.63 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 1 SO on 6 hits through 5.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-53 record overall and have a home record of 24-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Friday while Joey Wentz is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 6.32 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts on 0 hits through 3 innings pitched against the St Louis Cardinals.


Yankees vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 53-43 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 23-24 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves haven't looked good in their games this season with their 42-53 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NL East. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 24-22 home record. The Yankees haven't looked great lately as they went into the All-Star break 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have still been the hotter team as the Braves went into the break 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Yankees also have the better pitching matchup here and they can take advantage of that. The Braves are going with Wentz in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 2-1 with a 6.32 ERA and he isn't really a starter. He has already been traded twice this season as a relief pitcher and now the Braves will be giving him a shot to start this game. He didn't give up any runs in 3 innings in his last appearance, but starting a game is a whole different animal and this isn't a great situation against one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Yankees also have a good bullpen to help them out if their starter gets into trouble. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Yankees Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 19, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Braves 4.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this New York Yankees Atlanta Braves prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

MLB Betting Trends


New York Yankees: 16-22 (-13.4 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 236-197 (-27 units) on the moneyline in all games. 178-138 (-37 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 35-20 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).

Atlanta Braves: 33-21 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline at home vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 55-33 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline at home when playing against a team  with a winning record. 37-22 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline at home vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 61-31 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.

Key Injuries


New York Yankees:  C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. M. Fried (SP) Day To Day - Finger. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. Y. De Los Santos (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  A. Riley (3B) Ten Day IL - Abdomen. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Sixty Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“There’s been a lot of good. There’s obviously been two weeks where we really struggled. But we set out in Spring Training and the start of the year to get back to the playoffs and go chase after a world title. All those hopes and dreams are right there and still exist for us. A long way to go. Still got to keep getting better. But we’re in position to do what we need to do.” - Aaron Boone on his team this season. 


“We did a lot of really good things today, a lot of fundamental things to help us win a game.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Saturnday.


Starting Lineups


New York Yankees
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Cody Bellinger (L) CF
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Jasson Domínguez (S) LF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Austin Wells (L) C
Oswald Peraza (R) 3B

Atlanta Braves
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
Sean Murphy (R) DH
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Nacho Alvarez Jr. (R) 3B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Nick Allen (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.355)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (125)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (35)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (81)
Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (14)
Wins:  Max Fried (11)
Saves:  Devin Williams (13)
ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Ronald Acuña (.323)
Hits:  Austin Riley (104)
Home Runs:  Matt Olson (17)
RBI:  Matt Olson (61)
Stolen Bases:  Michael Harris (12)
Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (7)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (11)
ERA:  Zach Thompson (0.00)

Managers:
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2025 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.