New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, April 1, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mets -130, Marlins +110; Over/Under:  9 runs

New York Mets:  1-0 (1st place, NL East)

Miami Marlins:  0-1 (3rd place, NL East)

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New York Mets:  1-0 last 10

Miami Marlins:  0-1 last 10

The Mets are entering this game off a win in their last game. They enter this game with a 1-0 record overall and have a road record of 1-0. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .631 OPS. David Peterson is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tylor Megill is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 4-2 with a 5.13 ERA last season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games last season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 3.1 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Marlins are entering this game off a loss in their last game. They enter this game with a 0-1 record overall and have a home record of 0-1. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .586 OPS. Jesús Luzardo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Edward Cabrera is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 6-4 with a 3.01 ERA last season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games last season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 0 hits through 3 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins already lost to the Mets on opening day and they will have to play them again on Friday before they can play this game but regardless of what happens on Friday, this is a great matchup for the Marlins to take a game back in this series. The Mets are off to another good start this season with a win in their 1st game but they are still dealing with a lot of injuries to their pitching staff so this 3rd game in the series is a nice spot to fade them, especially with Verlander getting injured and Megill having to take his place now. Megill had a good start to the year last season but he is not a very consistent pitcher as he finished the season with an ERA above 5.00. Cabrera had a much better season though and he will be looking to start his season off by pitching a gem here against a tough division rival. The Marlins also have some good bats in their lineup and will be able to put up runs in this game on Megill and the banged up bullpen of the Mets. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game. 

Mets Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, April 1, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Mets 1.

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New York Mets: 73-47 (+14 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 129-92 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-13 UNDER in April games.

Miami Marlins: 136-189 (-41.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 100-138 (-28.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 25-18 UNDER in April games.

New York Mets:  D. Peterson (SP) Prob Fri - Foot. J. Verlander (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Quintana (SP) Mid July - Ribs. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Coonrod (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

Miami Marlins:  S. Okert (RP) Mid April - Groin. T. Nance (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Enright (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“Ran into a little trouble there in the sixth, a couple extra hits and a homer really kind of puts a sour taste in your mouth finishing the day." - Max Scherzer after their win against the Marlins in their game on Thursday.

“First game. I know I have more opportunities to not walk anybody. I just have to keep working hard." - Sandy Alcantara after their loss against the Mets in their game on Thursday.

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Mark Canha (R) LF

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B

Omar Narvaez (L) C

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jean Segura (R) 3B

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) CF

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Avisail Garcia (R) RF

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jacob Stallings (R) C

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Batting Average:  Starling Marte (.500)

Hits:  Starling Marte (2)

Home Runs:  N/A

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (3)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (1)

Wins:  Max Scherzer (1)

Saves:  David Robertson (1)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.500)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (2)

Home Runs:  Garrett Cooper (1)

RBI:  Garrett Cooper (2)

Stolen Bases:  N/A

Wins:  N/A

Saves:  N/A

ERA:  Huascar Brazoban (0.00)

Managers:

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)