New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2025

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, May 24, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, May 25, 2025
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2, Pacers -2; Over/Under:  223 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2, Pacers -2; Over/Under:  223 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +2.5, Pacers -2.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  51-31 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  5-5 last 10
Indiana Pacers:  8-2 last 10


New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering the playoffs with a 51-31 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Indiana Pacers twice in a row. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 36 while Karl-Anthony Towns and Mikal Bridges each were next on the team with 20 points. Jalen Brunson led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Mitchell Robinson led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.6% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.7 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 48-47-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-46-2.



The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers twice in a row and the New York Knicks twice in a row. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 39 while Myles Turner was next on the team with 16 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Tyrese Haliburton led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 51.8% from the field, 43.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 45-46-3 this season and their O/U record is 50-42-2.


Knicks vs Pacers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Knicks and the 4th seeded Pacers for the Eastern Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Pacers are leading this series 2-0 after winning game 2 on the road. The Pacers took a 2-0 series lead with a 114-109 win over the Knicks in the 2nd game of this series and now they are going back home with a chance to end the series. They won both road games to start this series and that is the same thing they did in the last round against the Cavaliers. The Pacers have been doing this all playoffs and now they have a ton of momentum on their side coming back home with 4 wins in a row now. The Knicks weren't able to win either of those 2 games and they blew a big lead in game 1 which they ended up losing in overtime. They struggled a lot more in game 2 as they were trailing for most of the night, and now they are going to be in a desperate situation on the road. The Knicks are going to throw everything they have at the Pacers in this game, but the Pacers continue to find ways to win games in these playoffs and they are going to do the same in this one. They have been rolling teams on their home court too and they were much better on their home court this season with their 29-11 home record. The Knicks blew 2 chances to win a home game in this series, 1 of those being a game in which they had a double digit lead in the final minutes, and now this series feels like it is over with the Knicks going on the road down 2-0. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, May 25, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 121 Knicks 115.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 28-16 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 23-15 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 23-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 20-13 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 30-16 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Indiana Pacers: 18-25 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 1-4 ATS in the 3rd game of a playoff series. 18-30 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 24-16 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 28-17 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  None.

Indiana Pacers:  I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.


Notable Quotes


“Going into the fourth quarter it’s a tie ballgame. We've just got to make better plays, more winning plays.” - Tom Thibodeau after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 2 of this series on Friday.


“Special game. In the first half he was the guy that got us going and got us through some difficult stretches.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Knicks in game 2 of this series on Friday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Mikal Bridges
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Karl-Anthony Towns

Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith
PF Pascal Siakam
C Myles Turner

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (26)
APG: J. Brunson (7.3)
Reb/G: K. Towns (12.8)

Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)
APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (5th season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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