Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 7, 2023
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch: BSSW
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Pelicans +7, Mavericks -7; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Pelicans +7, Mavericks -7; Over/Under: 225.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Pelicans +7, Mavericks -7; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Season Record
New Orleans Pelicans: 24-14 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Dallas Mavericks: 22-17 (3rd place, Southwest Division)
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New Orleans Pelicans: 6-4 last 10
Dallas Mavericks: 7-3 last 10
New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis
The Pelicans are coming into this game with a 24-14 record overall and they are 7-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday night that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Saturday. They are entering this game off of a win against the Houston Rockets in their last game. CJ McCollum led the team in points in that game with 28 while Naji Marshall and Jonas Valančiūnas each were next on the team with 16 points. CJ McCollum led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 46.1% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.8 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 20-18 this season and their O/U record is 22-16.
The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 22-17 record overall and they are 15-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 23 while Spencer Dinwiddie was next on the team with 18 points. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Christian Wood led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 37.8% from the field, 21.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 13-24-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-17.
Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Pelicans listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pelicans have been having a great season this year as their team has finally been really healthy for most of the season and they are in a battle for 1st place in the west right now with a 24-14 record overall. They haven't been great in their road games as they are only 7-10 this season and they are going to be without their best player Zion too which is a huge blow to them, but this is still a very good team without Zion and they are not just going to roll over here. The Mavericks have been very hot in their games lately but they just took a very bad loss at home in their last game, losing by around 30 points to the Celtics. They were completely embarrassed and will be looking to bounce back here on their home court, but this is still a lot of points for them at home going against one of the better teams in the West this season. The Mavericks are starting to cool off now after stringing together 7 wins in a row and they will likely win this game at home bouncing back but it will be much closer than an 8 point or more blowout. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pelicans to cover the spread in this game.
Pelicans Mavericks Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 7, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 124 Pelicans 121.
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NBA Betting Trends
New Orleans Pelicans: 7-2 ATS vs. division opponents. 13-6 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 10-3 OVER as an underdog.
Dallas Mavericks: 4-14 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 13-23 ATS in all games. 12-6 OVER as a home favorite.
Key Injuries
New Orleans Pelicans: W. Hernangomez (C) Ques Fri - Ankle. L. Nance Jr. (SF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. Z. Williamson (PF) Late Jan - Hamstring. B. Ingram (SF) Mid Jan - Toe. E. Liddell (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Dallas Mavericks: J. Green (SG) Mid Jan - Elbow. D. Finney-Smith (SF) Mid Jan - Hip. M. Kleber (PF) Mid Feb - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“He was locked in from the start on both ends of the floor, sharing the basketball, making shots. He understands the situation.” - Willie Green on CJ McCollum after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Wednesday.
“It was kind of like what happened in Boston. We just couldn’t score. We had some great looks there early. The ball just didn’t fall for us.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Celtics in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
New Orleans Pelicans
PG CJ McCollum
SG Trey Murphy III
SF Herbert Jones
PF Naji Marshall
C Jonas Valanciunas
Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Spencer Dinwiddie
SF Tim Hardaway Jr.
PF Reggie Bullock
C Christian Wood
Statistical Leaders
New Orleans Pelicans
PPG: Z. Williamson (26)
APG: C. McCollum (6)
Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (9.6)
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (34)
APG: L. Doncic (8.7)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.8)
Coaches:
New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (2nd season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (2nd season)