NCAA Basketball: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Odds and Preview - 12/05/2021
Game Time: Noon ET, Sunday, December 5th, 2021
Venue: Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, Mississippi
Where to Watch: ESPNU
Opening NCAAB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings:
BetMGM:
PointsBet: N/A NL
Season Record
Minnesota: 0-0 conf, 6-0 overall (Big Ten)
Mississippi State: 0-0 conf, 6-1 overall (SEC)
Minnesota is on a six game win streak to open the season. Their last game was a nail biter! On Tuesday night they dueled with the Pitt Panthers down to the very last shot and came away with a 54-53 win. The win keeps them on the Big Ten leaderboard with the other undefeated Big Ten team the Purdue Boilermakers. It’s going to be a fun college basketball season for the Golden Gophers.
Mississippi State is 6-1 on the season. They have been knocking off small school patsies to pad the record (as has everyone else). They got tripped up against the Louisville Cardinals and lost 72-58. To keep up with the Golden Gophers the Bulldogs will have to knock down more shots then they have been. Shakeel Moore is the Bulldogs only consistent threat from beyond the arc.
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Golden Gophers vs Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Recent Form:
Minnesota is 6-0 on the season, but 4-2 ATS. They have logged 2 Overs and 4 Unders. They are 1-0 on the road. They should head into this one confident since they are shooting 10% better from FG% than Mississippi State. A focus on rebounds should be their priority.
Mississippi State is 6-1 on the season, but 4-3 ATS. They have notched 3 Overs and 4 Unders. They are a pristine 5-0 in home games. That home game mark will get tested.
Offensive Analysis
Minnesota is averaging 69.7 ppg 32.2 rpg and 1.1 AST/TO. The rankings are not impressive, that scoring is 226th in the nation, those rebounds are 221st in the nation. It’s a weird time in college basketball to focus on rankings of stats… The strength of schedule Minny has played is about 3x that of Miss St.
Mississippi State is 153rd in points per game with 74.1, 37th in rebounds with 37.7 and 124th in AST/TO ratio with 1.1. They have played quality defense to this point and that could be what puts them over if they get this win.
Minnesota vs Mississippi State Prediction
Our prediction for Saturday, December 5th is .. Minnesota 70 - Mississippi State 67
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone Under in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
Miss State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games played on a Sunday.
The Total has gone Over in 10 os Miss State’s last 13 games played in December.
Key Injuries
Minn: F I. Ihnen (knee) Out for season ** F P. Fox (knee) Out for season
Miss: F Tolu Smith (Foot) Out til mid december
Starting Lineups
Minnesota: F Eric Curry, F Jamison Battle, G Payton Willis, G Luke Loewe, G Eylijah Stephens
Mississippi State: G Iverson Molinar, G Shakeel Moore, F Garrison Brooks, F DJ Jefferies, F Tolu Smith
Statistical Leaders
Minn
Points: Jamison Battle 17.5
Assists: Payton Willis 3.3
Rebounds: Eric Curry 6.5
Steals: Payton Willis 1.8
Blocks: Eric Curry 1.2
Miss
Points: Iverson Molinar 16
Assists: Iverson Molinar 4.7
Rebounds: Tolu Smith 9.7
Steals: Shakeel Moore 2.4
Blocks DJ Jefferies 1.0