Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/09/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024

Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +24, Tennessee -24; Over/Under:  61 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +23.5, Tennessee -23.5; Over/Under:  61 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +23.5, Tennessee -23.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-7 (0-5) (16th place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  7-1 (4-1) (3rd place, SEC)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the UMass Minutemen 45-20.

Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Kentucky Wildcats 28-18.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UMass 45-20. Michael Van Buren Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 222 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Johnnie Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 1 TD. Jordan Mosley led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Corey Ellington led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Ty Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1. Brylan Lanier came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Tennessee is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Kentucky 28-18. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 292 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Dylan Sampson led the team in rushing yards with 142 and 2 TDs. Miles Kitselman led the receivers with 97 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Arion Carter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Omari Thomas, Joshua Josephs, and James Pearce Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Andre Turrentine and Will Brooks each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Mississippi State listed as a 24 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall and their 0-5 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the SEC. They are coming off a win over UMass in their last one though so that win could give them a boost here. They have been losing a ton of games in the SEC, but they haven't really been getting blown out in a lot of them, keeping more of their conference games closer. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked great in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. Their only loss this season was on the road to Arkansas and they have been rolling since then with 3 wins in a row now, but they haven't really been blowing opponents out in these games. They are coming off a 10 point win at home against Kentucky in their last one, but they have been playing in a lot more closer games since starting conference play. They were blowing teams out early on but lately they haven't been putting up a ton of points in their games and have been relying more on their good defense. They will be able to stop Mississippi State in this game, but the Bulldogs have looked a lot better lately so they are going to put up a fight here and they will keep it close enough to not get embarrassed in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi State Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 29 MS State 14.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 5-11 ATS as an underdog. 7-13 ATS against conference opponents. 0-5 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 8-3 UNDER in road lined games. 5-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 8-3 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game. 

Tennessee Volunteers: 22-12 ATS in all lined games. 19-9 ATS as a favorite. 13-6 ATS in home lined games. 7-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 8-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 7-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 9-5 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  M. Craver (WR) Questionable - Lower Body. T. Wright (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Whittemore (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lee (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Hudson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dinkins (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Bingley-Jones (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Russell (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Davis (RB) Out - Knee. B. Shapen (QB) Out - Shoulder.

Tennessee Volunteers:  E. Spillman (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out - Knee. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.

“Just a happy locker room. Could not be more proud of our togetherness, the team we are creating, the foundation that’s being built. For those guys, being able to feel victory is important so proud of that.” - Jeff Lebby after his team’s win against UMass in their last game. 

“We don't take any win for granted. Every week is its own season. You've gotta play smart football and tie it all together.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game. 

WR Mosley, Jordan

WR Hudson, Trent

WR Coleman, Kevin

TE Traore, Seydou

QB Shapen, Blake

RB Lee, Keyvone 

WR McCoy, Bru 

WR Brazzell II, Chris

WR White, Squirrel 

TE Kitselman, Miles

QB Iamaleava, Nico 

RB Sampson, Dylan

FB Harrison, Cole

Passing: M. Van Buren (1323)

Rushing: D. Booth (472)

Receiving: K. Coleman (688)

Touchdowns: D. Booth (7)

Passing: N. Iamaleava (1695)

Rushing: D. Sampson (980)

Receiving: D. Thornton (401)

Touchdowns: D. Sampson (19)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Jeff Lebby (1st season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)