Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Mississippi Rebels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/15/2025

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 15, 2025

Venue:  Pavilion at Ole Miss, University, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +5.5, Ole Miss -5.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  17-7 (5-6) (10th place, SEC)

Mississippi Rebels:  19-6 (8-4) (5th place, SEC)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-3  last 5

Mississippi Rebels:  4-1  last 5

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 17-7 record overall, a 5-6 record in conference games, and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Florida Gators in their last game. Josh Hubbard led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while KeShawn Murphy was next on the team with 18. Josh Hubbard led the team in assists with 6 in that game while KeShawn Murphy led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.4% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.8 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 10-14 this season and their O/U record is 13-11.

Ole Miss is entering this game with a 19-6 record overall, an 8-4 conference record, and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Malik Dia led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jaemyn Brakefield was next on the team with 14. Sean Pedulla and Jaemyn Brakefield each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Dre Davis and Mikeal Brown-Jones each led the team in rebounds with 4. They were 45.5% from the field, 61.5% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 14-10-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-14.

The current betting odds have Ole Miss listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ole Miss has looked good in their games this season with their 19-6 record overall and their 8-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 11-2 home record. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has looked good in their games this season with their 17-7 record overall, but their 5-6 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have been a good road team so far with their 5-2 road record, but lately they haven't looked good. They have been ranked inside the top 25 this season and are ranked at the moment, but they are coming off a bad home loss to Florida in their last one by double digits. They are also 2-3 in their last 5 games and have struggled to beat the good teams in the SEC this year. Ole Miss is also a ranked team, but they have been a lot more consistent throughout the season. They were in their own slump a few weeks ago, but now they have broken out of it and have looked a lot better lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They are coming off a tight road win over South Carolina in their last one, but they have been blowing opponents out on their home court and now that they have been playing better lately, they can take advantage of Mississippi State in their current slump. The best way to place a bet here is on Ole Miss to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi State Mississippi Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 15, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 84 MS State 74.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 5-9 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 20-27 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 9-5 OVER as a road underdog or pick. 10-5 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 

Mississippi Rebels: 6-3 ATS off a road win. 6-3 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 19-6 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 29-17 1H OVER in all home games. 24-12 1H OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  K. Clary (G) Out - Leg.

Mississippi Rebels:  None.

“I just was shocked that that's how we were playing. We just didn't have the type of urgency and fight that we showed the majority in the first half from where I sat.” - Chris Jans after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

"It's everything we thought it would be. It's been well-documented that this team (South Carolina) is good and well-coached with an NBA player on it (Collin Murray-Boyles). They've been in games like this. They're going to win games in this league, it just didn't come at our expense tonight. A lot of respect for South Carolina. It's hard to win on the road in the SEC." - Chris Beard after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game.

C. Harris 

J. Hubbard 

C. Matthews 

R. Melendez 

M. Nwoko

D. Davis 

M. Dia 

J. Murray 

M. Murrell 

S. Pedulla

PPG: J. Hubbard (17.6)

APG: C. Matthews (4)

Reb/G: K. Murphy (7.5)

PPG: S. Pedulla (14.6)

APG: S. Pedulla (3.8)

Reb/G: M. Dia (5.6)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (3rd season)

Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)