Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/12/2024

Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 12, 2024

Venue:  Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MS State +33.5, UGA -33.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MS State +33.5, UGA -33.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MS State +33.5, UGA -33.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  1-4 (0-2) (16th place, SEC)

Georgia Bulldogs:  4-1 (2-1) (4th place, SEC)

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Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas Longhorns 35-13.

Georgia Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the Auburn Tigers 31-13.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 35-13. Michael Van Buren Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 144 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Johnnie Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 75. Kevin Coleman Jr. led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Brylan Lanier led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Stone Blanton, Branden Jennings, Trevion Williams, and Zakari Tillman each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Georgia is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 31-13. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 240 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Trevor Etienne led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 2 TDs. Colbie Young led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dan Jackson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Georgia listed as a 33.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall and their 2-1 conference record. They already took a loss against Alabama, but they bounced back in their last game with a big win over Auburn. Meanwhile, Mississippi State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 1-4 record overall and their 0-2 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They are coming out of their bye week, but that is not going to help much now that they are on the road against one of the best teams in the nation. Their offense hasn't looked good at all and their defense has been giving up a ton of points too. Georgia is going to have some hope after seeing Alabama lose to Vanderbilt so they will be motivated to roll every team they can on their schedule and show they are still one of the best in the nation. Their defense looked a lot better in their home game against Auburn last week and the offense was also rolling right from the start. Mississippi State isn't going to do much on offense here and they aren't going to stop this Georgia offense either. Georgia will pull away in this game until there is no way back for Mississippi State. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia to cover the spread in this game. 

Mississippi State Georgia Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 12, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Georgia 49 Mississippi State 10.

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Mississippi State Bulldogs: 6-3 1H ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-2 1H ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 8-2 UNDER in road lined games. 6-3 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 

Georgia Bulldogs: 1-7 ATS as a favorite of 31 or more points. 4-11 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-13 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 10-5 UNDER as a home favorite. 14-6 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points. 4-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  S. Davis (RB) Out - Knee. J. Harrell (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Georgia Bulldogs:  D. Harris (DB) Questionable - Disciplinary. M. Williams (DL) Out - Ankle. W. Brinson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. R. Robinson (RB) Out - Foot. J. Hall (DL) Out - Leg. X. McLeod (DL) Questionable - Abdominal.

“For me, it’s all about what the thing is that creates an advantage, and that’s going to be week-to-week moving forward in understanding what we’re getting on both sides of the ball and special teams. It is. It’s up to me and our staff to put us in a position to have a chance to go win the game. We’ll continue to look at that.” - Jeff Lebby on his team this season. 

“Welcome to the SEC. It’s hard every week. I have a feeling that it’s not gonna stop.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game. 

WR Mosley, Jordan

WR Hudson, Trent

WR Coleman, Kevin

TE Traore, Seydou

QB Shapen, Blake

RB Lee, Keyvone 

WR Bell, Dillon 

WR Smith, Arian 

WR Lovett, Dominic 

TE Delp, Oscar

QB Beck, Carson 

RB Etienne, Trevor

Passing: B. Shapen (974)

Rushing: J. Daniels (233)

Receiving: K. Coleman (344)

Touchdowns: K. Coleman (3)

Passing: C. Beck (1359)

Rushing: T. Etienne (300)

Receiving: A. Smith (278)

Touchdowns: D. Bell (4)

Coaches:

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Jeff Lebby (1st season)

Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (9th season)