Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2023

Game Time: 12:05 pm ET, Sunday, July 2, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  41-42 (1st place, AL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  48-32 (2nd place, AL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-42 record overall and have a road record of 18-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Sonny Gray is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-2 with a 2.67 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 6.2 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-32 record overall and have a home record of 25-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 7.18 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 3 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins already took the series opener of this series with an 8-1 win and they are looking to bounce back in this series after getting swept by the Braves. The Orioles have been having a great season with a really good offense but their pitching hasn't been great and has definitely been an area to take advantage of as seen in their last few losses. The Twins also have the much better pitching matchup in this game with Gray starting for them as Gray has been a solid starter all season. He has an ERA south of 3.00 this season and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately either. Meanwhile, the Orioles have Irvin starting in this game and their bullpen has already struggled enough this season keeping runs off the board too. Irvin has been terrible in his starts this year as he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all season and the Twins offense will definitely take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here. The Orioles haven't been at their best lately either and their offense will struggle to put up runs on Gray with how good he has been this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 2, 2023 (12:05 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Orioles 1.

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Minnesota Twins: 41-42 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-18 (-11 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 19-9 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 25-12 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Baltimore Orioles: 48-32 (+16.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-9 (+15.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 15-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. COLE IRVIN is 16-7 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Minnesota Twins:  B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. McCann (C) Early July - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“The response everyone's looking for is what we got. I think we tapped into something. We’ve had some good offensive games along the way, but we haven’t tapped into that — what we just saw out there, the true quality and nature of the at-bats that we had.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

“I'm sure he's done it quite a few times. He nailed it right there. Shows he's comfortable and confident in himself.” - Austin Hays on Jordan Westburg after their win against the Reds in their game on Monday.

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Willi Castro (S) CF

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Anthony Bemboom (L) C

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (60)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (14)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (15)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.385)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (21)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (21)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)