Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/01/2023

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 1, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN2

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Orioles -140; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  40-42 (1st place, AL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  48-31 (2nd place, AL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-42 record overall and have a road record of 17-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Pablo López is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-4 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-31 record overall and have a home record of 25-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been having a great season this year, they still lead the AL Central at the moment but have a losing record overall and also have the Guardians hot on their trail. The Twins have also been a lot worse in their road games and their offense hasn't been that great either, but they do have some good pitching and will be able to exploit this pitching matchup as they look to bounce back from getting swept during the week. The Orioles have been having a great season with a really good record and a really good offense too, but their pitching hasn't been that good and is definitely an area that teams have been exploiting with good offense. The Orioles have had a bad bullpen and they also have Bradish starting here who has been really up and down in his starts this season. He only gave up 2 runs in his last start but hasn't been consistent with those kinds of starts and the Twins can take advantage of that here. The Twins also have Ober on the mound and he has been really good in his starts all season, not giving up many runs lately either. He will keep the Orioles at bay while the Twins take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 1, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Twins 2 Orioles 0.

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Minnesota Twins: 40-42 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-18 (-11 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 19-9 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 23-16 UNDER in road games.

Baltimore Orioles: 48-31 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-9 (+15.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 16-8 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 9-5 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Ques Fri - Foot. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. McCann (C) Early July - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“Yeah, we’re scrapping just to score a run right now. We’re going to have to win some close ballgames like that, but you can’t win every game clawing for a run, two runs. It feels like we’ve been like that for a long time. I’m hoping that getting this out, and the players are in there talking right now in the clubhouse, I’m hoping that me getting this out, them getting it out as a group and feeling this together as a team is what is going to help lead us to where we need to be.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Wednesday.

“I'm sure he's done it quite a few times. He nailed it right there. Shows he's comfortable and confident in himself.” - Austin Hays on Jordan Westburg after their win against the Reds in their game on Monday.

Donovan Solano (R) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Kyle Farmer (R) SS

Willi Castro (S) LF

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Joey Gallo (L) RF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Aaron Hicks (S) DH

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (58)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (13)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (15)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.417)

Hits:  Austin Hays (85)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (21)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (21)

ERA:  Yennier Cano (1.14)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)