Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/26/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Monday, June 26, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +160, Braves -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

Minnesota Twins:  39-39 (1st place, AL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  49-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

The Twins are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and split their 4-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-39 record overall and have a road record of 16-20. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Detroit Tigers still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Sonny Gray is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Braves are entering this game off of a win in their last game and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-27 record overall and have a home record of 24-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Cincinnati Reds still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .825 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 8-2 with a 3.93 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 9 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been great this season as they are struggling just to stay above .500 but they are still leading the AL Central and will be looking to hang onto that lead by stealing a game from the red hot Braves in this series. The Braves have been playing really well lately with one of the best offenses in the league now too but their pitching hasn't been great and their bullpen has been giving up a lot of runs. They do have Strider on the mound here and he has been great all season, but the Twins also have a solid starter themselves with Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray gave up 3 runs in his last start but he has been really good and reliable all season and will give the Twins a great chance of winning this game by keeping the Braves offense at bay. The Twins will be able to take advantage of the Braves bullpen here to put up some runs and Gray will keep them in this game by shutting down the Braves lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game and on the runline.

Twins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, June 26, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Braves 3.

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Minnesota Twins: 13-21 (-11.9 units) on the moneyline after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 33-36 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 28-18 OVER as an underdog of +150 or more. 23-12 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more.

Atlanta Braves: 50-27 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-21 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 10-3 OVER as a home favorite of -200 or more. 10-3 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins:  J. De Leon (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Buxton (DH) Ques Sun - Back. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  S. Murphy (C) Ques Sun - Hamstring. K. Allard (SP) Early July - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We needed something right there, and he hit the ball 110 mph. But it is right at someone, so it is a double play.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Saturday.

“I never feel safe here with a lead and I never feel like we're out of it. You never feel good until it's over.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Saturday.

Edouard Julien (L) DH

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Kyle Farmer (R) 2B

Willi Castro (S) LF

Joey Gallo (L) RF

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (57)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (13)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (13)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (10)

ERA:  Jordan Balazovic (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.328)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (101)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (24)

RBI:  Matt Olson (57)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (34)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (8)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (11)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)