Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/30/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 30, 2025
Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Lakers -5.5; Over/Under:  210 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Lakers -5.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Lakers -5.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Los Angeles Lakers:  50-32 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers:  5-5 last 10


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis


The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Lakers twice in a row. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 43 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 25 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jaden McDaniels led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.2% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 78.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 42-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-40.



The Lakers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 31-10 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves twice in a row. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 38 while LeBron James was next on the team with 27 points. LeBron James led the team in assists in that game with 8 while LeBron James led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 45% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range, and 88% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 46-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 43-43.


Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Lakers and the 6th seeded Timberwolves from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 at home. The Timberwolves took a 3-1 series lead with a 116-113 win over the Lakers in the 4th game and that was a bad blown lead for the Lakers. The Lakers were leading that game for most of the time and even had a big lead really late in the game, but the Timberwolves never gave up and found a way to come back and win. Now all the pressure is on the Lakers as they are going back home facing elimination here, and they had a chance to even up the series and get the home advantage back as they did look good in game 4. They couldn't close that game out, but they did struggle more in road games this season and they are going to have an answer going back home now. The Lakers looked a lot better on their home court all season with their 31-10 home record, and this is going to be a desperate situation for them since their season will be over with a loss. Look for the Lakers to bring their best effort right from the start of this game and make the adjustments to keep their lead at home late in this game. The Timberwolves have looked great in this series, but this will be a really tough game to win in LA with the lakers throwing everything they have at them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Lakers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 30, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Lakers 106 Timberwolves 98.
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NBA Betting Trends


Minnesota Timberwolves: 32-23 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 9-4 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 22-14 ATS on the road when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 20-12 UNDER on the road against Pacific division opponents.

Los Angeles Lakers: 10-18 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 9-5 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 33-25 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 34-28 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 

Key Injuries


Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Day To Day - Ankle.

Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Kleber (PF) Out - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“It’s been a hallmark of this team in the second half of the season: There’s been no panic.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.


“We haven't lost nothing yet. It's still the first one to four wins, and we've just got to still believe.” - Luka Doncic after their loss against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luka Doncic
SG Austin Reaves
SF Rui Hachimura
PF LeBron James
C Jaxson Hayes

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)
APG: J. Randle (4.7)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. Dončić (28.2)
APG: L. James (8.2)
Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.2)

Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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