Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 10, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -5, Warriors +5; Over/Under:  200.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -5, Warriors +5; Over/Under:  200.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -5.5, Warriors +5.5; Over/Under:  200.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Golden State Warriors. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 24 while Anthony Edwards and Nickeil Alexander-Walker each were next on the team with 20 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Rudy Gobert and Anthony Edwards each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.6% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 44-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-42.

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jonathan Kuminga led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 17 points. Brandin Podziemski led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 44.7% from the field, 28.1% from 3-point range, and 64% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 45-44-3 this season and their O/U record is 46-46.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 6th seeded Timberwolves and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Timberwolves won game 1 at home. The Timberwolves made it a 1-1 series with a 117-93 win over the Warriors in the 2nd game of this series and they really took advantage of a Warriors team that was missing their best player, Steph Curry. They were up by double digits in the 1st quarter and never really looked back as they were in complete control of the game. Now they are going on the road for the next 2 games in this series, but Curry could still be out for this next game and that is going to be a big blow to this Warriors lineup. The Warriors offense was a lot worse without Curry in the last game and as good as their defense has been in the playoffs, the Timberwolves have many different players that can contribute to the offense. The Timberwolves have also lost the home advantage in this series now from their loss in game 1 so they are going to be looking to steal this first road game, and they are going to bring their best effort to try and take advantage of a Warriors team still missing Curry. The Timberwolves are in a better situation here with the healthier team and they showed in the last round that they can go on the road and win in the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 10, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 106 Warriors 96.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 21-11 ATS on the road against Pacific division opponents. 23-14 ATS on the road when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 10-5 ATS on the road in all playoff games. 14-5 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 

Golden State Warriors: 18-27 ATS in home games. 13-24 ATS at home versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 6-14 ATS at home versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 9-3 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Day To Day - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Out - Hamstring.

“We looked a lot more like ourselves.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Warriors in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

“We have to figure out what we’re going to be able to do in this series without Steph. So we gave a lot of people a lot of chances, and some guys really stepped up.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 2 of this series on Thursday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Brandin Podziemski

SG Moses Moody

SF Buddy Hield

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)