Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  236 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Nuggets -3.5; Over/Under:  236 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  37-29 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  42-23 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 37-29 record overall this season and they are 19-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets, the Miami Heat, and the San Antonio Spurs. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 25 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 20 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 55.8% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 30-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-30.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 42-23 record overall this season and they are 22-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 34 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 60.5% from the field, 56.3% from 3-point range, and 90% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 32-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 38-27.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 42-23 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 22-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 37-29 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West and in the first play-in spot, right on the cusp of a true playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 19-15 road record. They have struggled a lot throughout the season as they have been a really up and down team, but they have also been dealing with injuries. Now they are starting to get healthy again and have looked a lot better lately. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now, but they also haven't faced a single team with a winning record during this streak. The Nuggets are the perfect team to stop this winning streak too. The Nuggets are also 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a huge road win over the Thunder in their last one so they are going to carry over that momentum into this one. The Nuggets have also been one of the best home teams in the NBA this season, so as good as the Timberwolves have looked lately against bad opponents, they won't be able to have their way with the Nuggets here. The Nuggets have looked better against tougher opponents lately and they have the talent to end this Timberwolves winning streak on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 12, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 123 Timberwolves 116.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 23-15 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 23-16 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 19-11 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 35-24 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Denver Nuggets: 5-10 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better. 2-6 ATS at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 13-23 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 32-18 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. J. Strawther (SG) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

“It’s all about winning. Whatever this team needs. If this is the version that this team needs, then I want to do that every single night to help us get as many wins as possible, make the biggest run we can make. I’m not really worried about scoring the ball. I know I can score the ball. I’ve had multiple years of scoring the ball at a high level. That’s not really what I’m worried about.” - Julius Randle after their win against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.

"Obviously, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a great player. And if he wins his first MVP, he's deserving of that. My thing is this. If you didn't know that Nikola won three MVPs, and I put 'Player A' and 'Player B' on paper, and you had no idea that the guy who's averaging a triple-double, the guy who's top-three in the major statistical categories (had already won three) ... he wins the MVP 10 times out of 10. And if you don't think so, I think you guys are all full of (crap)." - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in their game on Monday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (27.2)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.4)

PPG: N. Jokić (28.9)

APG: N. Jokić (10.5)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (13)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)