Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/18/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 18, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +8, Nuggets -8; Over/Under:  NL points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +8, Nuggets -8; Over/Under:  NL points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +8, Nuggets -8; Over/Under:  NL points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  22-23 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  30-13 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 22-23 record overall and they are 8-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Utah Jazz in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 29 while D'Angelo Russell was next on the team with 21 points. Kyle Anderson led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Kyle Anderson led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 45.5% from the field, 43.9% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 19-26 this season and their O/U record is 22-23.

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 30-13 record overall and they are 19-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday night that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns, the LA Clippers again, and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Aaron Gordon led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 52.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 22-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-22.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets are playing this game on a back-to-back which isn't a great spot for them but they will be at home and have been very hot in their games lately winning 6 in a row before entering the 1st game of this back-to-back. They have been a great home team all year with a 19-3 home record and have one of the best records in the NBA right now as they lead the west with their 30-13 record overall. The Timberwolves have been struggling a lot this season with their 22-23 record overall and they have been terrible in their road games too going 8-13 on the road this season. They have been struggling a lot due to injuries and are still missing some key players in their lineup. They just lost at home to the Jazz in their last game and now they are going to take their struggles on the road here in a tough environment to play in with that altitude. The Nuggets are a lot healthier than the Timberwolves right now and they have also been a much better team all year that is very hot coming into this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 18, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 126 Timberwolves 110.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 24-14 ATS vs. division opponents. 8-2 ATS after 3 straight games being outrebounded by the opponent by 5 or more. 15-8 OVER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 

Denver Nuggets: 15-23 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 17-32 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 23-14 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Gobert (C) Ques Wed - Groin. J. McLaughlin (PG) Out indefinitely - Calf. K. Towns (C) Out indefinitely - Calf.

Denver Nuggets:  C. Gillespie (PG) Late Jan - Leg. B. Hyland (PG) Ques Tues - Ankle. V. Cancar (SF) Ques Tues - Leg. P. Watson (SG) Late Jan - Thigh. J. Green (SF) Late Jan - Hand.

“The story of the game was on offense and ability to finish around the paint. I think we were, let’s see here, 28 for 52 in the paint. That’s a lot of misses in the paint. And not all of them were because of great defense. We missed a lot of easy ones.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Jazz in their game on Monday.

“He stepped back, got the space and just shot over the top. It was a beautiful shot.” - Aaron Gordon after their win against the Magic in their game on Sunday.

PG D'Angelo Russell

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Kyle Anderson

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray 

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (23.9)

APG: D. Russell (6.2)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (11.5)

PPG: N. Jokic (24.7)

APG: N. Jokic (9.8)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (10.9)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (3rd season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)