Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 14, 2023
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bucks +1, Heat -1; Over/Under: 219.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bucks +1, Heat -1; Over/Under: 219.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bucks +1, Heat -1; Over/Under: 219.5 points
Season Record
Milwaukee Bucks: 27-15 (1st place, Central Division)
Miami Heat: 23-20 (1st place, Southeast Division)
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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks: 5-5 last 10
Miami Heat: 7-3 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis
The Bucks are coming into this game with a 27-15 record overall and they are 11-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Miami Heat in their last game. Jrue Holiday led the team in points in that game with 24 while Jevon Carter was next on the team with 18 points. Jrue Holiday led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Bobby Portis led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40.2% from the field, 38.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 22-17-3 this season and their O/U record is 21-21.
The Heat are coming into this game with a 23-20 record overall and they are 13-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Gabe Vincent led the team in points in that game with 28 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 24 points. Victor Oladipo led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 44.2% from the field, 26.5% from 3-point range, and 93.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 16-24-3 this season and their O/U record is 20-23.
Bucks vs Heat Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have been great all year with one of the best records in the East right now at 27-15 and they have been really good in their games lately too. They haven't been great in their road games with just an 11-10 road record this season but they are going to be out for their revenge here. They just lost to the Heat in their last game and only lost by 6 points as they even got out to an early lead. They lost the game but were also missing their star player in Giannis who will likely be back for this game and it will be very different for the Heat with him back in the lineup. The Heat have been playing a lot better lately as they have been getting hot over the last week, but they still haven't been great all season and they barely beat the Bucks in their last game while they were short handed. Now the Bucks will be a lot healthier in this game and will also have a lot more rest on their side making it much easier for them to bounce back and get their revenge. The Bucks are fighting for the number 1 seed in the East right now and they are not going to slow down here after losing their last game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game.
Bucks Heat Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 14, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 118 Heat 112.
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NBA Betting Trends
Milwaukee Bucks: 32-21 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 36-22 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 14-7 UNDER in road games.
Miami Heat: 4-13 ATS as a home favorite. 3-10 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 10-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Bucks: S. Ibaka (PF) Ques Sat - Personal. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Ingles (SF) Ques Sat - Knee. G. Allen (SG) Ques Sat - Ankle. K. Middleton (SF) Mid Jan - Knee.
Miami Heat: K. Lowry (PG) Ques Sat - Knee. C. Martin (SF) Ques Sat - Quadricep. T. Herro (SG) Ques Sat - Knee. D. Dedmon (C) Prob Sat - Suspension. D. Robinson (SF) Early Feb - Hamstring. N. Jovic (SF) Late Jan - Back. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We got up 15 or so and the energy and effort was good at both ends to start the game." - Mike Budenholzer after his team’s loss against the Heat in their game on Thursday.
“We're developing some grit and mental toughness and stability." - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Bucks
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Grayson Allen
SF Pat Connaughton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Max Strus
PF Jimmy Butler
C Bam Adebayo
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31)
APG: J. Holiday (7.2)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.9)
APG: K. Lowry (5.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)
Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (5th season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)