Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Pacers +2.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Pacers +2.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Pacers +2.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  36-27 (2nd place, Central Division)

Indiana Pacers:  35-27 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 36-27 record overall this season and they are 14-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Orlando Magic and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 30 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 22 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Jericho Sims led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.9% from the field, 29% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 30-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-32.

The Pacers are entering this game with a 35-27 record overall this season and they are 19-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Atlanta Hawks twice in a row, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Chicago Bulls still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Hawks, Bennedict Mathurin led the team in points in that game with 30 while Pascal Siakam was next on the team with 23 points. Andrew Nembhard led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Bennedict Mathurin led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.6% from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.3 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 30-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-28-2.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 35-27 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home court too with their 19-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 36-27 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 14-16 road record. They have looked good lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they have lost some of that momentum now with 2 losses in a row. The Pacers have also been good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Pacers have also lost 2 games in a row and both of those losses were in road games against the Hawks, but they will be looking to bounce back at home and this is a big game for them to try and catch the Bucks in the standings. The Bucks have played some tougher teams lately as they are coming off a loss to the Cavaliers in their last one, but their last 2 losses were both on their home court and the other was against a struggling Magic team that is under .500. The Pacers have been getting really hot lately and they did go to the Eastern Conference Finals last season so they still have that talent on their team to make a run and they can take advantage of the way the Bucks have struggled on the road this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 11, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Pacers 127 Bucks 123.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 7-13 ATS on the road vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 15-23 ATS on the road versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 2-7 ATS on the road after scoring 100 points or less. 14-8 OVER after scoring 100 points or less. 5-2 OVER off a home loss against a division rival.

Indiana Pacers: 28-20 ATS as a home underdog. 81-49 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 41-21 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 28-20 OVER as a home underdog. 11-6 OVER at home revenging a home loss vs opponent. 

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Out - Calf.

Indiana Pacers:  T. McConnell (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. T. Haliburton (PG) Day To Day - Hip. Q. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

"Just watching their trust over ours offensively will jump off the screen when our guys watch it. I think it's a good teacher for us.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Cavaliers in their game on Sunday.

“He must have thought there was more time. You could tell when he lay the ball in he knew it was a mistake.” - Rick Carlisle on Pascal Siakam after his team’s loss against the Hawks in their game on Saturday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.9)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12)

PPG: P. Siakam (20.8)

APG: T. Haliburton (8.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.2)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)