Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/18/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +2.5, Warriors -2.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  38-29 (2nd place, Central Division)

Golden State Warriors:  39-28 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  9-1 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 38-29 record overall this season and they are 14-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 21 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 19 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 39.8% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 78.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 32-34-2 this season and their O/U record is 34-34.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 39-28 record overall this season and they are 21-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the New York Knicks, the Brooklyn Nets, the Detroit Pistons, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Sacramento Kings, and the Knicks again, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Denver Nuggets still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Knicks, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 28 while Moses Moody was next on the team with 18 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Gui Santos and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 39.8% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 34-31-2 this season and their O/U record is 34-33.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 39-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on their home court too with their 21-13 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 38-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 14-17 road record this season. The Bucks have looked good lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they have also been really up and down in their games lately. They are coming off a home loss to the Thunder by double digits in their last one and that was a game that the Thunder were on a back-to-back for, but the Bucks still blew their opportunity to beat them at home. The Warriors have been the much hotter team lately anyways, going 9-1 in their last 10 games and winning 7 games in a row now. They have a ton of momentum on their side as they have looked like a different team since acquiring Jimmy Butler, climbing the standings in the West, and they are going to keep climbing as they try to get the highest seed they can get. The Warriors are at a disadvantage here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back, but the Bucks couldn't beat the Thunder at home in that same situation and now they will have to do it on the road against a team that has been just as hot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 18, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 121 Bucks 113.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 19-13 ATS off a home loss. 20-14 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 35-28 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 26-16 UNDER as a road underdog. 20-11 UNDER off a home loss. 21-14 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent.

Golden State Warriors: 9-19 1H ATS against Central division opponents. 11-29 1H ATS in March games. 35-49 1H ATS in non-conference games. 35-19 1H UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 83-53 1H UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 

Milwaukee Bucks:  None.

Golden State Warriors:  B. Podziemski (SG) Day To Day - Back.

"I just thought they were so much more physical tonight. So, give them credit. They definitely came in with intentions tonight and played that way. We struggled, I thought, throughout the game getting into our offense. I thought they strung us out, we couldn't get open, we couldn't get to our spots, and I thought that was them. I thought they played great tonight." - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Sunday.

“It was a great moment, being awarded the game ball by the Attles family was really beautiful, to sort of be honored by their presence. Obviously, Al Attles is Mr. Warrior forever. The record it’s kind of surreal to even think that this could happen. But as I said earlier it’s a reflection of our organizational strength, and stability, and talent level over the last 11 years since I’ve been here." - Steve Kerr on having the most wins in Warriors history after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Saturday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Stephen Curry

SG Buddy Hield

SF Moses Moody

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12.1)

PPG: S. Curry (24.3)

APG: S. Curry (6.1)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.5)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)