Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, April 11, 2025

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +5.5, Pistons -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +5.5, Pistons -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +5.5, Pistons -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  45-34 (3rd place, Central Division)

Detroit Pistons:  43-36 (4th place, Central Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10

Detroit Pistons:  5-5 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 45-34 record overall this season and they are 19-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Miami Heat, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Minnesota Timberwolves, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New Orleans Pelicans still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Timberwolves, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 23 while Kevin Porter Jr. was next on the team with 21 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 47.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 72% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.7 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 40-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 40-40.

The Pistons are entering this game with a 43-36 record overall this season and they are 21-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Sacramento Kings, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New York Knicks still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Kings, Cade Cunningham led the team in points in that game with 35 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Jalen Duren led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Isaiah Stewart led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.2% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 41-35-3 this season and their O/U record is 39-38-2.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 45-34 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team though with their 19-20 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Pistons have looked good in their games this season with their 43-36 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on their home court too with their 21-18 home record this season. Both of these teams have already clinched a playoff spot already and are playing for seeding in this game. Both of these teams are also on back-to-backs here so neither team is going to have a rest advantage. The Pistons have had a great season this year as they were one of the worst teams in the NBA last season and are now in a playoff spot, but lately they haven't looked great as they are starting to crumble toward the end of the season. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have lost 2 games in a row now too. The Bucks have been getting really hot though as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row. The Bucks have been starting to roll lately and this is the perfect time for them to be building momentum with the playoffs about to start. This is also a game the Bucks need to win as they can guarantee a finish above the Pistons with a win in this game. The Bucks are the better team at the momentum and are playing with the momentum on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 119 Pistons 113.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 10-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 25-17 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 4-1 ATS in April games. 24-14 1H OVER in road games. 12-5 1H OVER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.

Detroit Pistons: 15-22 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 22-35 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 5-11 ATS in April games. 25-9 1H OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 24-13 1H OVER in home games.

Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Day To Day - Shoulder. P. Connaughton (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Lillard (PG) Out - Calf. J. Sims (C) Out - Thumb.

Detroit Pistons:  I. Stewart (C) Day To Day - Knee. C. Cunningham (PG) Day To Day - Knee. T. Harris (PF) Day To Day - Achilles. J. Ivey (SG) Out - Leg.

"It's huge for us because we're still trying to chase, stay in front of, whatever we're trying to do in the playoff thing. It was a playoff atmosphere game for them as well. That's why the game was so meaningful." - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their game on Tuesday.

“That was the goal, around that number. Obviously, didn’t want to overexert him, just give him an opportunity to get his legs under him and try to catch a rhythm. I thought he did a good job tonight.” - J.B. Bickerstaff on Cade Cunningham after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Monday.

PG Ryan Rollins

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Cade Cunningham

SG Tim Hardaway Jr.

SF Ausar Thompson

PF Simone Fontecchio

C Jalen Duren

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

PPG: C. Cunningham (25.9)

APG: C. Cunningham (9.1)

Reb/G: J. Duren (10.4)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Detroit Pistons: J.B. Bickerstaff (1st season)