Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 03, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 4, 2024
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +142, Phillies -168; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +142, Phillies -168; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +142, Phillies -168; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  36-23 (1st place, NL Central)
Philadelphia Phillies:  41-19 (1st place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  8-2 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-23 record overall and have a road record of 18-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Bryse Wilson is their starting pitcher on Monday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-19 record overall and have a home record of 24-9. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-3 with a 2.83 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.


Brewers vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 36-23 record overall which leads the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have looked great in their road games too with their 18-13 road record. The Phillies have also looked really good in their games this season with their 41-19 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, and they are also 24-9 in their home games which is one of the best home records in the MLB this year. The Phillies are going to have some momentum on their side off a series win over the weekend, but the Brewers also won their series over the weekend, sweeping the White Sox in that one. Both teams have offenses that have been producing runs too, but the Brewers do have a slight advantage with a better OPS on the season. Rea is starting for the Brewers in this game while Sanchez is starting for the Phillies here and both pitchers have looked really good in their starts lately. Both of these teams are hot right now and even though the Phillies have been better on the season, the Brewers have the offense to compete in this game so expect them to keep this close even if they lose. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game or on the runline to keep it close. 

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 4, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Phillies 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 36-24 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 48-43 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 11-4 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 runs or less. 48-24 UNDER after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more. 16-8 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 or more. 5-1 UNDER after scoring 1 run or less.

Philadelphia Phillies: 78-58 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 8-10 (-4.4 units) on the moneyline after 5 or more consecutive unders. 8-8 (-4.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 20-11 UNDER as a favorite of -150 or more. 12-4 UNDER against NL Central opponents. 5-1 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive unders.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  T. Megill (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Junis (SP) Early June - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. G. Mitchell (CF) Early June - Hand. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  R. Suarez (SP) Ques Mon - Hand. B. Marsh (CF) Ques Mon - Hamstring. K. Clemens (2B) Ques Mon - Back. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“We're a work in progress, for sure. Guys are getting comfortable in their roles. We're set up now to understand how the season is going to be.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


“I've seen his command better.” - Rob Thomson on Taijuan Walker after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Sal Frelick (L) CF
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B
Jake Bauers (L) 1B
Gary Sánchez (R) DH
Jackson Chourio (R) RF

Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) LF
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
Johan Rojas (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Christian Yelich (.323)
Hits:  William Contreras (75)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (9)
RBI:  William Contreras (44)
Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (20)
Wins:  Jared Koenig (5)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (8)
ERA:  Enoli Paredes (0.00)

Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Trea Turner (.343)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (68)
Home Runs:  Bryce Harper (14)
RBI:  Alec Bohm (49)
Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (16)
Wins:  Ranger Suárez (9)
Saves:  José Alvarado (9)
ERA:  Matt Strahm (0.75)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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