Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  41-37 (1st place, NL Central)

New York Mets:  35-43 (4th place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

New York Mets:  3-7 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-37 record overall and have a road record of 19-19. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .675 OPS. Julio Teheran is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Wade Miley is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-2 with a 2.91 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Mets are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-43 record overall and have a home record of 17-16. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. David Peterson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been having a good season with their losing record overall but they have been a lot better in their home games and desperately need to turn things around in this series. Their offense hasn't been good all season but it has been getting better over the last week as they have been putting up more runs in their games lately and they are also catching a break here with the Brewers since they have one of the worst offenses in the MLB this year. The Brewers are fighting for 1st place in the NL Central right now too but they are barely over .500 this season and really haven't been that great in their games lately. They have been pitching well in their games lately and have a solid starter here with Miley on the mound, but Miley has also been battling injuries over the last few weeks and as good as he has been pitching lately, he could collapse at any time with that injury still bothering him. The Mets are starting Senga in this game and he has been really up and down in his starts this year as he is still in his rookie season but he has also been a lot better in his home starts and will have no problem trying to shut down a cold Brewers offense that hasn't been good all season. The Mets desperately need to win this series and will fight hard at home to try and turn things around. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Brewers Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Brewers 2.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 28-18 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 9-6 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 32-12 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 23-15 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

New York Mets: 35-43 (-22 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-24 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 21-12 UNDER in home games. 18-7 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Prob Wed - Lower Body. J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

“Little frustrating not scoring, we left a bunch of men on base. But if you get to a bullpen after five, there’s a chance. And then, obviously, we had a big swing from Joey.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Monday.

“It’s always about now and the heck with what happened last year or or last week or tonight. You’ve got to get it fixed.” - Buck Showalter on his team’s struggles this season after their loss against the Brewers in their game on Monday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B

Willy Adames (R) SS

Owen Miller (R) 2B

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Luis Urias (R) 3B

Blake Perkins (S) RF

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (76)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (17)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (14)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (83)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (24)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (55)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (21)

Wins:  Max Scherzer (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (11)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)