Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 16, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  11 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  11 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  11 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  50-42 (1st place, NL Central)

Cincinnati Reds:  50-42 (2nd place, NL Central)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 81-57 ($16.2K) this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  6-4 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-42 record overall and have a road record of 24-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Reds on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Adrian Houser is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-2 with a 3.68 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Reds are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-42 record overall and have a home record of 23-22. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ben Lively is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-5 with a 3.83 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been playing a lot better lately and they now have control of the NL Central after winning the series opener of this series over the Reds. The Reds were really hot going into the All-Star break but their pitching has been terrible in their games all season and they have been winning a lot of their games lately with good offense. The Brewers have had one of the worst offenses in the MLB all season but their pitching has been really good in their games lately and the Reds are due for some regression now after being so hot for so long. The Reds have Lively starting here and he hasn't been bad this season but he hasn't been shutting teams down in his starts and he has also been dealing with injuries this season too. The Brewers are going with Peralta here and he has been really reliable for them lately, not giving up many runs in his starts lately and the Brewers bullpen has also been really good too. The Brewers are going to lean on their pitching in this game since it has been so good lately while the Reds have been struggling with their pitching staff all season and the Brewers will take advantage of this pitching matchup to put themselves in control of this division. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 16, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Reds 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Milwaukee Brewers: 232-188 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 0-3 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 11 or higher. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175. ADRIAN HOUSER is 7-1 UNDER in all games.

Cincinnati Reds: 50-42 (+18.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-30 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. BEN LIVELY is 9-3 UNDER against division opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers:  B. Anderson (1B) Ques Sat - Back. J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Prob Tues - Forearm. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“He just got light-headed, essentially. The trainers don't think it was a hydration issue. Just like you lift something heavy and get a little light-headed from that. He just needed a minute to regroup. His vision got a little blurry.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Friday.

“He has great stuff. He threw more breaking balls. I think that led to a lot of his success tonight. Obviously, he has a good fastball. He used the breaking ball more today and I think that helped him.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Friday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Victor Caratini (S) C

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Tyrone Taylor (R) RF

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jake Fraley (L) DH

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

Will Benson (L) RF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (93)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Willy Adames (46)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (8)

Saves:  Devin Williams (21)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.315)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (90)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)