Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/15/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 15, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +115, Reds -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  49-42 (2nd place, NL Central)

Cincinnati Reds:  50-41 (1st place, NL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  7-3 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-42 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-7 with a 4.70 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Reds are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-41 record overall and have a home record of 23-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Graham Ashcraft is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Andrew Abbott is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 2.38 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Reds listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Reds were really hot going into the All-Star break but they stumbled a bit in that last series against the Brewers. Now they face the Brewers again in this series with a chance to get their revenge at home and this will be a really important series as the winner will have the lead of the NL Central after. The Brewers have been a really up and down team all season, they are finally starting to get hot now but their offense still hasn't been that great. They actually have one of the worst offenses in the MLB this season and the Reds are starting Abbott here who has been very good all year. He did give up 6 runs in his last start against the Brewers but he will be looking to bounce back back at home here since that has been his worst start of the season, not giving up many runs at all in his others. The Brewers are going with Peralta here and he hasn't been that great this season since he has been consistently giving up runs in his starts. He is going to get himself into trouble here with how hot that Reds offense has been lately and the Reds are going to be looking to get after him after losing the series to the Brewers right before the All-Star break. The Reds still have the better pitching matchup in this game as Abbott will bounce back at home with a much better start and the Reds also have the much hotter offense too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Reds to win this game. 

Brewers Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 15, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Reds 6 Brewers 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 43-45 (-14.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 14-16 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 18-8 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

Cincinnati Reds: 50-41 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-29 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. ANDREW ABBOTT is 5-2 UNDER in all games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. T. Taylor (CF) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Out indefinitely - Forearm. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Really great pitching today. That’s a lineup that’s scored a lot of runs. To keep them a zero is really impressive." - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.

’We’ve seen Wade Miley a lot, and we’ve seen him pitch really well, but I don’t know if I’ve seen him like that. That was really, really good. I know our hitters expected to score some runs, but Wade really pitched well. He was throwing hard, he looked great out there.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Kevin Newman (R) DH

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Nick Senzel (R) RF

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (93)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Willy Adames (46)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (7)

Saves:  Devin Williams (20)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.325)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (90)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)