Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/14/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, July 14, 2023

Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -120, Reds +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -120, Reds +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -120, Reds +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  49-42 (2nd place, NL Central)

Cincinnati Reds:  50-41 (1st place, NL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

Cincinnati Reds:  7-3 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-42 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Reds on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Wade Miley was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-5 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Reds are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-41 record overall and have a home record of 23-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have had the week off for rest due to the All-Star break. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Ben Lively was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Graham Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-6 with a 6.28 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers are in 2nd place of the NL Central just 1 game behind the Reds so this is going to be a very important series as the winner will be in the lead of the division. The Reds have been really hot on offense lately but their pitching hasn't been good and that is going to help this Brewers team that hasn't had a good offense but just managed to win their series against the Reds right before the All-Star break. The Brewers are also going to have Burnes starting here and even though he got off to a rough start this year, he has been pitching a lot better lately and looking like the ace again that he has been for this team over the last few years. The Reds are going to have Ashcraft starting and he hasn't been good this season since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts but he has also been dealing with an injury too and will struggle to keep the Brewers off the board. The Brewers offense was also getting really hot right before the break so they will be looking to continue that here and Burnes did shut down the Reds just last week in his start against them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 14, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Reds 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 25-21 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 39-38 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. 23-13 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150. 9-5 OVER after a one run win. 

Cincinnati Reds: 50-41 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 33-33 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 27-17 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 14-5 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. T. Taylor (CF) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. R. Tellez (1B) Out indefinitely - Forearm. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Cincinnati Reds:  V. Gutierrez (SP) Late July - Elbow. T. Antone (RP) Late July - Elbow. R. Sanmartin (SP) Late July - Elbow. H. Greene (SP) Early Aug - Hip. J. Dunn (SP) Mid Sept - Shoulder. C. Legumina (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Lodolo (SP) Early Aug - Calf. C. Overton (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Really great pitching today. That’s a lineup that’s scored a lot of runs. To keep them a zero is really impressive." - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.

’We’ve seen Wade Miley a lot, and we’ve seen him pitch really well, but I don’t know if I’ve seen him like that. That was really, really good. I know our hitters expected to score some runs, but Wade really pitched well. He was throwing hard, he looked great out there.” - David Bell after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Sunday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Kevin Newman (R) DH

Matt McLain (R) SS

Jonathan India (R) 2B

Elly De La Cruz (S) 3B

Spencer Steer (R) LF

Joey Votto (L) 1B

Nick Senzel (R) RF

Tyler Stephenson (R) C

TJ Friedl (L) CF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (93)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Willy Adames (46)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (7)

Saves:  Devin Williams (20)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Elly De La Cruz (.325)

Hits:  Spencer Steer (90)

Home Runs:  Spencer Steer (14)

RBI:  Jake Fraley (52)

Stolen Bases:  Jake Fraley (16)

Wins:  Ian Gibaut (8)

Saves:  Alexis Diaz (26)

ERA:  Ricky Karcher (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (5th season)